West Brom v Brentford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 03/12/18
Tom love (@TomLove_18) previews West Brom v Brentford and provides us with his best bets for Monday nights televised clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.
West Brom v Brentford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 03/12/18
- Time: 20:00pm
- Venue: The Hawthorns
- Channel: SkySports Football
The Championship is rounded off with a Monday night fixture that promises to be an entertaining affair. Free scoring West Brom host an attacking but out of form Brentford side and if both play like they normally do it should a game laden with goals.
WBA have won three on the bounce after a slight wobble they’re back on track. Darren Moore – a hard-nosed centre half in his playing days – has implemented an extremely attack focused philosophy at the Hawthorns and it’s made for exciting viewing.
The Baggies have scored a league high 41 goals so far this season, that’s over 2 a game on average. It’s no surprise though when you take a gander at their wealth of forward options at his disposal. One of the most potent 2nd tier marksmen Dwight Gayle is being kept out by Welshman Hal Robson-Kanu, if that’s doesn’t scream strong squad depth then I don’t know what does! Jay Rodriguez has popped up with 9 already this term and he’s backed up by a strong midfield, most notably Harvey Barnes and Matt Phillips who’ve also managed 7 and 5 goals from a deeper positions this season.
Despite scoring almost at will, the Black Country boys sit in 4th. Why’s that? It’s because their gung-ho approach leaves them vulnerable at the other end of the pitch. Earlier in the season Moore opted for a back 3 who split when in possession, it left them exposed when teams won the ball back further up the pitch. However, the gaffer has reverted to a back 4 in the last few weeks with Manchester City loanee Tosin Adarabiayo filling in at right-back. It hasn’t stopped the stem of goals conceded though, you have to go back to 22nd September for the last time they kept their sheets clean.
Brentford weren’t on the best of runs when ex-manager Dean Smith left for Aston Villa, however there’s been no upturn in fortune since his departure. A solitary win at home to an out of sorts Millwall is the only win new man Thomas Frank has to his name; it’s a rut they need to get out of sooner or later or they could easily get dragged into a relegation battle.
Their ethos hasn’t changed though. Brentford are a relatively unique club when it comes to recruitment and their focus on the analytical side of the game has been well documented. The team sandwiched between the Thames and the M4 have long been the data darlings of the EFL scene. Performance ratings have been impressive, chance creation and efforts from inside the box have been plentiful; it’s been their profligacy in front of goal that’s been their achilles heel. They should really be scoring more than they do.
Having said that, their underlying numbers have regressed in the past couple of weeks and the lack of wins could be hurting their confidence. That won’t alter their style though and they’ll be likely to come here and try exploit the hosts defensive weaknesses.
There’s positive news on the treatment table for the visitors. Thomas Frank came out and said Ollie Watkins and Saïd Benrahma are fit and back in contention for Monday night, a huge boost for the Bees.
Kyle Bartley is the only new injury concern for the hosts.
Potential West Brom Starting XI: Johnstone, Adarabioyo, Dawson, Hegazi, Gibbs, Phillips, Livermore, Morrison, Barnes, Robson-Kanu, Rodriguez.
Potential Brentford Starting XI: Bentley, Dalsgaard, Mepham, Ngoyo, Henry, McEachran, Yennaris, Sawyers, Canos, Watkins, Maupay.
Key Stats & Facts
- Brentford have lost 6 of their last 7 games in the Championship.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in both these sides’ last 3 respective league fixtures.
- West Brom can win four on the bounce if they’re victorious, the last time they achieved this was back in 2012.
- West Brom – 1/1
- Draw – 14/5
- Brentford- 3/1
With both sides attacking tendencies I’m expecting a bit of a shootout here. Bookies are dangling the even-money carrot on the hosts and I’m sure many punters will bite when looking at the form book. I do see the home side outscoring their visitors but I can’t trust the Baggies to keep the goals out either so I’m more than happy to boost that evens to 11/4 (SkyBet) by chucking in the caveat of a Brentford goal.
Of West Brom’s 10 wins in the league this season a massive 9 of them have come along with conceding. Brentford may be low on confidence but they’ve scored in 16 of their 19 fixtures this season and with key attacking threats returning I’m confident of them getting on the scoresheet here.
I’m also happy to delve into the card market and a player that catches the eye is Brentford full-back Henrik Dalsgaard. The Dane has been one of the most consistent performers for the West Londoners but his disciplinary record is questionable. He’s picked up 5 yellow cards this season, more than any of his teammates. He also was carded for his national side vs Wales last month.
He’s coming up against some seriously dangerous players in Harvey Barnes and Kieran Gibbs likely to come down his side of the pitch. Full-back is probably the position that is most likely for a booking along with central midfield. We can get a 11/2 quote with SkyBet for him to pick up another booking here, I was expecting more like 3/1 so there’s some value in him here I feel.