Wigan v Leeds Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 04/11/18
Chris Millas (@ChrisMMillas) previews Wigan v Leeds and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s televised Championship clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Wigan v Leeds Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 04/11/18
- Time: 13:30
- Venue: The DW Stadium
- Channel: Sky Sports Football
Sunday sees promotion hopeful’s Leeds travel to Wigan with the away side looking to consolidate their place towards the top of the table.
Wigan, who sit comfortably in mid-table on 20 points, come into the game off the back of two disappointing away defeats to Millwall (2-1) and Sheffield United (4-2) and have won just 1 of their last 6 games in the league.
The Latics will take great confidence however in knowing they are unbeaten at home this season, a run that stretches back 7 games. In fact, a huge 17 of their 20 points (85%) this season have come on home turf.
Meanwhile Leeds have made an impressive start to the season under new manager Marcelo Bielsa and sit 4th on 27 points, just 3 points behind current leaders Norwich with a game in hand.
The Argentinian has been a breath of fresh air in the Championship since his arrival in England and has bought a real buzz back to the city of Leeds. A win on Sunday would see his side go top of the league.
Before this weekend’s fixtures, only 2 teams (Sheffield United and West Brom) had scored more goals and only 2 teams (Middlesbrough and Swansea) had conceded less goals than The Peacocks who boast the league’s best goal-difference of +14.
Paul Cook will be without Leonardo Da Silva Lopes, Gavin Massey and Michael Jacobs who remain sidelined.
Marcelo Bielsa has confirmed Barry Douglas will return to the starting line-up. Patrick Bamford, Gaetano Berardi and Luke Ayling will miss the game however.
Potential Wigan Starting XI: Walton, Robinson, Dunkley, Burn, Byrne, Connolly, Morsy, Naismith, Powell, Windass, Garner
Potential Leeds Starting XI: Farrell, Dallas, Jansson, Cooper, Douglas, Phillips, Klich, Forshaw, Alioski, Hernández, Roofe
Head To Head
- Wigan – 6
- Draws – 2
- Leeds – 7
Key Stats & Facts
- Under 2.5 Goals has landed in the last 6 meetings between the two sides.
- Wigan are unbeaten in their last 7 home Championship games.
- Since the start of the 2016-17 season, Leeds have failed to win any of their 14 away league matched in which Luke Ayling hasn’t featured (W0-D4-L10).
- Wigan – 5/4
- Leeds – 5/2
- Draw – 64/25
Wigan may yet to have tasted defeat at The DW Stadium this season, but they face arguably their toughest test to date with the visit of Leeds and I expect The Whites to just edge what should be a tight affair.
Interestingly, Leeds rank 1st for xGA (Expected Goals Against) in the Championship this season compared to Wigan who rank 20th.
Taking into account all of the above and the recent form of both sides, I’m happy to take on Leeds at the current price of 5/4.
One alternative market that also caught my eye was corners.
Wigan have conceded an average of exactly 6 corners per game at home this season while Leeds have accumulated an average of 6.29 corners per game away.
Add in the fact that Leeds are likely to have a larger share of the ball, having averaged more possession both home and away than any other side in the league this season, and the 20/21 for Leeds ‘Race To 5 Corners’ looks great value.