Wolves v Leicester Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 19/01/19

Wolves v Leicester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Wolves v Leicester City and provides us with his best bets for Saturday lunchtime’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.


Wolves v Leicester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 19/01/19
  • Time: 12:30
  • Venue: Molineux
  • Channel: Sky Sports Main Event

Matchweek 23 in the Premier League gets underway at Molineux where 11th place Wolves take on Leicester, who are just two points above their opponents on Saturday.

This has the making of an interesting game with two similar styles squaring off. Nuno Espirito Santo has used his counter-attacking style to great effect in Wolves’ return to the top-flight, already beating the likes of Spurs and Chelsea whilst Claude Puel has also had success with the counter, recently beating Manchester City at home and Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. However, the Frenchman also likes his teams to retain the ball and recently said he doesn’t want his Leicester side to become over-reliant on the counter-attack.

Despite this, I could still see Puel setting up his Leicester side to soak up all the Wolves pressure and hit them on the break with the likes of Jamie Vardy, James Maddison and possibly Demarai Gray. I think this is the way he has to approach it looking at the struggles Wolves have had when they’ve needed to break teams down.

Both these sides have got very stout defences with some very talented personnel amongst their ranks. All 4 full/wing-backs have been in fine form for their respective sides this season and the battle down Wolves’ right has the makings of a good one. Ben Chilwell, who’s probably been the 2nd best left-back in the league so far (only behind Andy Robertson), will have his hands full on Saturday lunchtime. The talented full-back is likely to square off against Adama Traore/Helder Costa down that side and will also have to deal with Matt Doherty’s surging runs from wing-back; Doherty has 3 goals and 4 assists to his name already this season. A key for Puel will be to ensure Chilwell and Pereira not only remain disciplined with their defensive roles throughout, but they also provide that attacking threat that they are both so good at doing.

The Foxes will be looking to get out a period of inconsistency this weekend. They come into this one losing two of their last three (v Cardiff and Southampton) after their two most impressive wins of the season against City and Chelsea either side of Christmas. The home side have also had some patchy form recently despite starting December very well, picking up 3 wins in 3 against Chelsea, Newcastle and Bournemouth. They also thoroughly deserved their win at Wembley at the end of the month; where they came back from 1-0 down to win 3-1 in the last 20 minutes. But, on Boxing Day they were held to a 1-1 draw at 19th place Fulham and started 2019 with a home defeat to Crystal Palace. Wolves’ sporadic form against sides that adopt a deeper block has certainly been their downfall and has held them back from a genuine top 6 challenge.

Team News        

Wolves will have a full squad for this one apart from the suspended Willy Boly, who picked up a straight red for his challenge on Bernardo Silva on Monday night. A big miss with the centre-back starting all 22 league games for Wolves this season.

The away side are also relatively healthy with just Daniel Amartey (ankle) and Jonny Evans (toe) ruled out.

Potential Wolves Starting XI: Patricio, Doherty, Coady, Bennett, Dendoncker, Jonny, Moutinho, Neves, Traore, Jimenez, Cavaliero.

Potential Leicester Starting XI: Schmeichel, Pereira, Morgan, Maguire, Chilwell, Ndidi, Mendy, Albrighton, Maddison, Gray, Vardy.

Head To Head

  • All time: Wolves-42, Draw-32, Leicester-38.
  • Prior to this season, these two sides haven’t met in the top division since 2004.
  • Meeting back in August ended 2-0 Leicester.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Jamie Vardy is Leicester’s top-scorer with 7.
  • 5 of his 7 goals have come away from home.
  • Raul Jimenez leads Wolves’ scoring charts with 6 (also has 4 assists).
  • Four of Jimenez’s goals have come at home.
  • Wolves have just won once in 5, two of 4 defeats in that run were against the top 2.
  • Outside of the top 4, these two sides have the best defences statistically in the league- Leicester (25 conceded), Wolves (28).
  • However, Wolves has the worst scoring record amongst teams in the top 11, scoring just 23 in 22.
  • Leicester have the next worst scoring record out of the top 11 teams, scoring 26.
  • U2.5 goals in Leicester’s last 6 away games.
  • U2.5 goals in 4/5 of Wolves’ last home games.
  • Wolves have scored 2+ at home in 5/11 games and have only had an xG of 2+ in 3 games in total.
  • Wolves have won just 6/14 games against teams outside the top 6.

Betting Odds

  • Wolves 6/5
  • Draw 9/4
  • Leicester 12/5

The Verdict

This game is very tough to call as I don’t know how Puel will approach it. He could either play the way he wants his teams to play and run the risk of getting exposed to the Wolves counter or, he can trust his sturdy backline to contain a dangerous Wolves attack and hit them on the break with the threat Leicester carry going forward.

Either way, I think this game has the makings of a low-scoring draw. Both sides have similar talent in their starting 11’s and I think we may see Wolves being forced to break Leicester down, something that they might struggle at.

One banker for this one looks like the highest scoring half being the second period at 6/5. 17 of Leicester’s 26 goals have come in the second half this season and on the road, 11/13 of their goals have also come in this time frame. As for Wolves, 18 of their 23 league goals have come between 45-90 minutes and at home, they’ve only scored twice in the opening 45 minutes.

Recommended Bets

  • Draw – 9/4 (Betfair)
  • Highest scoring half: 2nd – 6/5 (Betfred)