Wolves v Newcastle Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/02/19
Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Wolves Vs Newcastle and provides us with his best bets for Monday’s 20:00pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -1.81pts
Wolves v Newcastle Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 11/02/19
- Time: 20:00
- Venue: Molineux
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Wolves have won their last two home league matches and are good value to secure a third successive Premier League victory at Molineux on Monday night.
Newcastle however could be the party spoilers, although Wolves won the reverse fixture in December 2-1. Bookies have the game firmly positioned for the points to go Wolves way, with Marathonbet best priced 3/4 to see out the win.
Diogo Jota sustained a knock in the 3-1 win at Everton last week and will be assessed, though having missed the 3-2 win over Shrewsbury on Tuesday night, it remains to be seen whether he'll recover in time.
Adama Traore could lead the line should the 22-year-old fail to prove his fitness in time in what may be Nuno Espirito Santo's only change to his XI from the win at Goodison Park.
Ruben Vinagre has been suffering with a virus in recent days.
Miguel Almiron has been granted his work permit and could be part of the squad that travels to Molineux on Monday night.
Yoshinori Muto has returned following the Asian Cup and is an option for Rafael Benitez, who may name the same XI that came close to landing a point at Tottenham last week.
Karl Darlow, Ki Sung-yueng, Rob Elliot, Karl Darlow, Jonjo Shelvey and Mohamed Diame will all be assessed.
Potential Wolves Starting XI: Patricio, Bennett, Coady, Boly, Jonny, Moutinho, Neves, Dendoncker, Doherty, Traore and Jimenez
Potential Newcastle Starting XI: Dubravka, Ritchie, Lejeune, Lascelles, Schar, Yedlin, Perez, Longstaff, Hayden, Atsu and Rondon
Head To Head
- Wolves 2-1-3 (Last six)
Key Stats & Facts
- Wolves have scored at least 3 goals in their last 3 matches (Premier League).
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Wolves last 4 games (Premier League).
- Wolves have won their last 3 matches (Premier League).
- Wolves – 3/4 Marathonbet
- Draw – 141/50 Marathonbet
- Chelsea – 19/4 BetVictor
I can see on the match odds there will be just enough for punters to chew on, but regular readers will know I attempt to extract any value that exists and may have found one market, which obliges.
The last time the pair met, there were 10 corners in the match and the score line was 6-4 to Wolves. With Skybet just 2/5 on both teams having 3+ corners and 11/10 for 4+ this is quite the jump in price. Looking at the individual lines, Wolves are as short as 1/9 for 4 or more corners, which has been achieved on the last two at home. Newcastle are around 4/6 with Skybet for 4 or more.
Now with the prices combined, bet365 came out at a paltry 4/5, but Skybet arrive at 11/10 despite the individual prices coming to a smidgen under 19/20, so potentially a shade of value here. Wolves average over 5 corners conceded at home and average 4.61 corners awarded at home. Newcastle on the road average just under four, but all of the last three have had at least three with two occasions landing four or more. I feel at the price quoted odds against there is a fair chance of landing, or at least coming very close.
A profitable punter with consistent profitability from Darts, Football and Snooker in particular. Stats lover looking to find the edge/value. Adopt a trading mind when it comes to minimising risk where possible. My main influence to sports betting has been Tony Ansell. See lockuptipster.weebly.com for a look at my proven track record.