2018 DP World Tour Championship Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • 13th November 2018
DP World Tour Championship Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) makes his TPP debut by previewing the DP World Tour Championship from Dubai and providing us with his best bets for this week’s European Tour finale.

DP World Tour Championship Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 15-18 November
  • Venue: Earth Course at Jumeriah Golf Estates, Dubai
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

The Race to Dubai on the European Tour sees its season ending finale this weekend, with the 10th renewal of the DP World Tour Championship being hosted at the Earth Course on the Jumeriah Golf Estate.

The top 60 players in the rankings, that have chosen to play, battle it out, with Francesco Molinari and Tommy Fleetwood vying for the coveted top spot. Molinari leads by over a million points, so it would take some effort from Fleetwood to defend his 2017 title.

Key Stats & Facts

The Earth Course, a Greg Norman design is a 7,675 yard par 72 course. Generous off the tee, and tending to favour the longer hitters, players will need to score and putt well on the par 4s and of course take advantage of the par 5s to get up to an expected winning score of at least -18. The closing holes here are spectacular, and can always throw up some great drama.

Previous winners include; Rahm, McIlroy (twice), Stenson (twice), Quiros and Karlsson, so you can hopefully see the style of player that succeeds here. Fitzpatrick’s win in 2016 perhaps bucked the trends somewhat, but ball strikers can also score well.

Betting Odds from bet365 – the top 10 in the market

  • Rory McIroy 9/1
  • Sergio Garcia 11/1
  • Jon Rahm 12/1
  • Tommy Fleetwood 14/1
  • Xander Schauffele 16/1
  • Tyrrell Hatton 16/1
  • Haotong Li 18/1
  • Francesco Molinari 20/1
  • Henrik Stenson 22/1
  • Patrick Reed 22/1

The Verdict

In the final event of the year on the European Tour, where there are question marks about the form and fatigue regarding many at the top of the market, I’m looking to back a group of players that I think can either strike a season ending win, or grab an each way value place.

Haotong Li has been in tremendous form in recent weeks, combining his power off the tee with some scintillating approach play. He has racked up 5 top 11 finishes in his last 5 events, narrowly missing out on a win by losing a playoff to Justin Rose in Turkey. Li also finished 13th at last year’s event, so in my view is primed for a big win.

Lucas Bjerregaard is a player that I have followed and backed a lot this season. Since watching him up close at Wentworth in the PGA Championships in May, I have been very impressed not only with his power off the tee, but his tremendous ball striking. It has seen him win the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship as well as a whole host of top 10 finishes in the past 3 months. He is a player that will achieve multiple wins in my view, and comes in this week at a price I cannot ignore. His form in Dubai isn’t to get excited about, but he is a different player this year.

Matt Wallace is always a player I look out for when first prices come out on a Monday, as I struggle to understand how he continues to be so undervalued in the market. A three time winner this year, and a history of playing well on low scoring tracks, Wallace has clearly put his Ryder Cup disappointments behind him with a 5th place last week. Although this is his debut in Dubai, I can see him playing well on a track that should clearly suit him.

Recommended Bets

  • Top Of The Market: Haotong Li 20/1 (Ladbrokes 1/4 Places 1-5)
  • Each Way Value: Lucas Bjerregaard 40/1 (bet365 1/4 Places 1-5)
  • Each Way Value: Matt Wallace 50/1 (Ladbrokes 1/4 Places 1-5)