In this 2018 World Cup betting preview, Ben Levene (@benlevene96) takes a look at the outright betting market and gives us his best bets ahead of this year’s tournament in Russia.
2018 World Cup Outright Betting Preview & Tips
Brazil and Germany lead the outright market, and I expect them to be there or there about. However, given the fine margins that are often in play in knockout football, I’m happy to give that pair a miss at the prices.
I’m able to talk myself out of backing France, Argentina and Belgium at sub 12/1 prices. Question marks can be posed at each of that trio.
Argentina were heavily reliant on Lionel Messi in qualification, and if it weren’t for moments of magic, they wouldn’t be turning up in Russia this summer. Defensively they look vulnerable, so I’m not going to overreact to the attacking quality at Jorge Sampaoli’s disposal. At the opposite end of the spectrum, Roberto Martinez has a deep squad with top-class talent all over the park, but they’ve failed to produce the goods as a unit on the big stage.
France do of course have claims, but they are shorter than Spain, who possess an experienced unit with a wealth of top-level success between them. From World Cup’s, to European Championship’s and Champions League titles, Julen Lopetegui’s side is full of serial winners. In the later stages, I’d be having them to get the job done over anyone. Above all, they’re probably the most talented squad of players too.
At 16/1 and 25/1 respectively we have England and Portugal, but perhaps Uruguay are worth chancing at a bigger price. As per the team-by-team previews, I fancy them to top their group, and that could stand them in good stead going into the knockout rounds, in terms of both draw and momentum. Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani offer the ability to win any given game, and at 33/1 Oscar Tabarez’s team can give you a run for your money.