Cardiff v Sheffield Wednesday Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 18/10/19
Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Cardiff vs Sheffield Wednesday and provides us with his best bets for Friday’s clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019/2020 Season Profit & Loss: +29.55pts
Cardiff v Sheffield Wednesday Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 18/10/19
- Time: 19:45pm
- Venue: Cardiff City Stadium
- Channel: SkySports Football
The Championship makes it’s return after a long and arduous international break, thankfully we only have to wait until Friday and not Saturday for an intriguing match up between Cardiff City and Sheffield Wednesday.
Garry Monk is now the head honcho at Hillsborough after jumping from job to job in the championship for a few years now. I’m not quite sure why he cannot stay put but a number of strained relationships at the higher echelons of the hierarchy seem to be a contributing factor. I do think he is a good manager though at this level, he’s straight talking and has a way of playing that is easy enough for the players to understand. It’s been a decent enough record since he came in, winning half of his six games.
He won’t have it all his own way here though, it’s always a tough gig going away to a Neil Warnock side. Owls midfielder Massimo Luongo has come out and said in the local press “It will be a tough test, you always know what Neil Warnock teams are about. They will be big, physical”. That being said, the Australia international backs his side to be up for the challenge even citing that the direct style could play into their hands.
Warnock does see his Cardiff side do their best work in the Welsh capital and rarely end up on the losing side, the Bluebirds are unbeaten in 5 on home soil in the league. It’s therefore no surprise that they’re favourites here then at 5/4, they do tend to be involved in tight games though and that always makes the draw an appealing punt, Monk would probably take that now.
Wednesday will be buoyed by the fact this Cardiff side shipped four goals last time out against West Brom. These kind of results rile Warnock and he will have his troops fired up to be much more solid and compact in their shape. His centre halves Aden Flint and Sean Morrison are more than capable at dealing with any direct play or crosses into the box, something the visitors have favoured since Monk has come in.
All in all this looks like a tricky one to call, I’d be surprised if Wednesday came here and won but I wouldn’t be surprised if it ended all square or in a narrow Cardiff win.
Neil Etheridge was back on the bench for Cardiff after injury has ruled him out for the majority of the season. Joe Ralls, Sol Bamba and Isaac Vassell were ruled out a fortnight ago and are doubts for Friday. Danny Ward will be pushing for a start after impressing off the bench against West Brom
Keeper Joe Wildsmith and defenders Tom Lees and David Bates were injured for their last game whilst Fernando Forestieri is back from suspension for Wednesday which is a boost for the visitors.
Potential Cardiff Starting XI: Etheridge, Peltier, Flint, Morrison, Bennett, Bacuna, Pack, Whyte, Paterson, Murphy, Glatzel.
Potential Sheffield Wednesday Starting XI: Westwood, Odubajo, Borner, Iorfa, Palmer, Bannan, Luongo, Harris, Forestieri, Reach, Fletcher.
Key Stats & Facts
- Cardiff have scored two or more goals in their last 3 championship games.
- Cardiff are unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Cardiff have failed to beat the Owls in their last 6 meetings with them.
- The last 3 games between these two in Wales have all ended in a draw.
- Cardiff are undefeated in their last 6 home games against Wednesday.
- Cardiff – 5/4
- Draw – 5/2
- Sheffield Wednesday – 23/10
I think the bookies have got this priced up pretty much bang on and although I’d prefer to side with Cardiff, I would want to get the draw onside too but any Cardiff handicap is too short and therefore I’ll not force a bet in the outright market. Over 2.5 has landed in the last three Cardiff games but after this international break I think Neil Warnock will try and go back to basics and set up to be tough to beat and that puts me off any goals based bets too.
Instead I’ll delve into the card markets and I can see this being a relatively feisty and competitive game, given that train of thought I’ll have a punt on both teams to see over 1 card which is priced up at 21/10 when using Bet365’s BetBuilder. Sheffield Wednesday are actually the dirtiest team in the league picking up 26 yellows and 1 red so far this season. Cardiff in comparison have picked up 20 yellows in their 11 league games so nearly an average of 2 per game. I expect it to be a tight and trappy game and we could see a few fouls, I was happy to take anything above 2/1 on this because it looks like value.
I’ve also been drawn in to an odds-against bet in the tackles market. Left-back Joe Bennett has completed more tackles than anyone else in the Cardiff squad with an average of 2.4 per game. He’s a mainstay in the starting XI and loves to get stuck in. SkyBet go 11/10 on Bennett making 2 or more tackles and that has to be value in my opinion. He should be the shortest price of all the Bluebirds’ players but there’s 4 or 5 who are a shorter price than him in this market.
He will likely be up against Kadeem Harris, Jacob Murphy or Adam Reach who are all dangerous wingers in their own right. Owls full-back Moses Odubajo also likes to get forward so Bennett could have his hands full here, giving him plenty of 1 on 1 scenarios that can lead to tackles. He completed 4 tackles a fortnight ago against West Brom and given his stats it looks worth having a point on 3 or more tackles at 10/3 as well.