Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Charlton v Sunderland and provides us with his best bets for Sunday's League One play-off final clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.
Charlton v Sunderland League One Play-Off Final Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 26/05/19
- Time: 15:00pm
- Venue: Wembley Stadium
- Channel: Sky Sports Football
The League 1 season concludes on Saturday as two of the so called ‘bigger' sides meet at Wembley both with the ultimate aim of promotion.
Many will hark back to 1998 and the epic 4-4 draw in the division two play off final. Clive Mendonca was the hero for Charlton that day scoring all four of the Addicks goals. Sunderland local lad Micky Gray missed the decisive spot kick and Alan Curbishley's side gained promotion. It would take some for this game to live up to that one but it could be as tight when looking at the result.
They're both very well matched and the betting reflects that with Sunderland only slight favourites to gain promotion. It may come down to individual battles and there's plenty to watch out for.
One area of the pitch which is of major intrigue is the middle of the park; you have distinct differences in both sides make-up. Charlton's youthful, energetic but classy diamond including the likes of Kristian Bielik, Josh Cullen, Joe Aribo up against Sunderland's experienced, solid and warrior-like duo of Grant Leadbitter and Lee Cattermole. It will be a fascinating battle and it will be interesting if either team alter their formation to combat each others.
The Black Cats could opt for a narrow midfield themselves with Max Power and George Honeyman tucked in. Charlton could utilise Chris Solly and Ben Purrington as wing-backs. Ultimately though I think Sunderland have more available to them in terms of tactical tweaking.
Aiden McGeady is rated as 50/50 to be involved here for the Black Cats.
Charlton have no new injury concerns.
Potential Charlton Starting XI: Phillips, Dijksteel, Bauer, Sarr, Purrington, Bielik, Cullen, Morgan, Aribo, Parker, Taylor.
Potential Sunderland Starting XI: McLaughlin, Matthews, Ozturk, Flanagan, Oviedo, Cattermole, Leadbitter, Power, Maguire, Honeyman, Wyke.
Key Stats & Facts
- Sunderland have lost their last 5 games at Wembley.
- 72% of Sunderland's games this season have seen both sides score.
- Both meetings between these two saw BTTS.
- Sunderland have drawn a league high 20 games this season.
- Charlton – 2/1
- Draw – 9/4
- Sunderland – 13/8
There is a bet I like the look of away from the match odds market and that's for both sides to score which is available at a fair 4/5 with Bet365. 54% of Charlton games has seen this bet land whereas an eye-opening 72% of Sunderland games have too. That equates to a 63% combine strike rate whereas the odds on offer expect something like a 60% chance. Therefore there's a smidgen of value for me, Sunderland very rarely fail to score and Charlton and Lyle Taylor can hurt their defence I feel. This bet also landed in both league games between the two.
Finally I'll take a stab at the 31/20 from BetVictor's PriceItUp feature for both sides to pick up over 1.5 cards. It landed in the last meeting between the pair and with stakes so high expect some tactical fouls. Here we have the likes of Lee Cattermole, Chris Maguire, Grant Leadbitter, Kristian Bielik, Lyle Taylor and Darren Pratley who are all partial to a card. The same bet is as short as 11/10 elsewhere.