Crystal Palace v Man City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 14/04/19

Crystal Palace v Man City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Crystal Palace v Manchester City and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +7.02pts

Crystal Palace v Manchester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 14/04/19
  • Time: 14:05
  • Venue: Selhurst Park
  • Channel: Sky Sports

It’s time for Manchester City to respond after Liverpool returned to the top of the league with a win against Southampton last Friday.

City, of course, didn’t have a league game last week due to their FA Cup semi-final against Brighton, which they won 1-0. Liverpool’s come from behind win at St. Mary’s mean they sit two points above City having played a game more.

With Liverpool playing Chelsea in the second part of Sky Sports’ ‘The Run In’ on Sunday, a win for City here would send them back to the summit, maybe for an hour or so.

Pep Guardiola’s side are coming into this one off the back of a disappointing result at Spurs on Tuesday. City created little after VAR had gifted them a penalty early on, a chance that Sergio Aguero blew, and were hit late on by a smart Heung Min Son finish that crept under Ederson.

However, with Crystal Palace’s form at Selhurst Park this season, you’d expect City to get a win here. Normally such a tough place to play, Palace have endured a difficult season at home, with only Fulham and Huddersfield having worse records in their own backyards. Their counter-attacking style obviously suits playing away from home, their away record being the 7th best in the league.

Nevertheless, Palace, with the likes of Wilfried Zaha, Michy Batshuayi and Andros Townsend, have the ability to hurt City on Sunday, as we saw at the Etihad back in December and they’re now playing without the pressure of being in a relegation battle. But, this City side are in tremendous domestic form, winning every league game since the start of February, a run of 8 straight wins.

When looking at the remaining fixtures of both Liverpool and City, you’d have to make Liverpool the favourites. After this weekend, the Reds have to play Cardiff, Huddersfield, Burnley, Newcastle and Wolves, whilst City face; Spurs, United, Burnley and Leicester. This weekend is certainly a vital one in deciding who will end up winning the title.

Team News        

Crystal Palace were dealt a blow at Newcastle with James Tomkins picking up a season-ending groin injury. Fellow centre-half Mamadou Sakho remains out with a knee problem meaning Scott Dann and Martin Kelly will likely be the centre back pairing on Sunday.

Max Meyer is available after missing the last game due to illness.

As for Man City; Benjamin Mendy is in line to make his first PL start in five months as Oleksandr Zinchenko is a doubt due to a hamstring problem.

Bernardo Silva, who missed Tuesday’s game at Spurs with a thigh strain, will also be monitored for Sunday. You would think that Kevin De Bruyne and Leroy Sane will start after featuring for just two minutes midweek.

Potential Palace Starting XI: Guaita, Wan-Bissaka, Dann, Kelly, van Aanholt, McArthur, Milivojevic, Kouyate, Zaha, Batshuayi, Schlupp.

Potential Man City Starting XI: Ederson, Danilo, Stones, Laporte, Mendy, Fernandinho, De Bruyne, D.Silva, Sterling, Jesus, Sane.

Head To Head

  • All-time: Palace-16, Draw-13, City-31.
  • Palace beat City 3-2 in the reverse fixture back in December, with Andros Townsend scoring the likely goal of the season with a thunderous volley.

Key Stats & Facts

  • City average just 1.8 goals a game away from home, compared to 3.2 a game at the Etihad.
  • They have conceded just twice in their last 8 league games, including a streak of 3 clean sheets away from home. A clean sheet on Sunday will equal the club’s record of four consecutive away clean sheets.
  • Sergio Aguero is without a goal in all five of his previous appearances at Selhurst Park.
  • Aguero is one short of becoming the second player to score at least 20 Premier League goals in six different seasons. Alan Shearer did so in seven separate campaigns.
  • Palace are a much better side away from home, they have accumulated just 16 points in 16 games at Selhurst Park whilst collecting 23 points on the road.
  • Only relegated clubs Fulham and Huddersfield have earned fewer points at home than Palace in the current campaign.
  • Luka Milivojevic is one short of equalling the Premier League record for most penalties scored in a season, set by fellow Palace player Andrew Johnson, who converted 11 in 2004-05.

Betting Odds

  • Palace 21/2
  • Draw 5/1
  • Man City 1/3

The Verdict

Palace’s dismal home form has put them way out at 21/2 with some bookies, a large price for a side that has a lot of talent going forward. But, I think City will win here in a close one. Their league form has been superb, whilst their defensive record as of late has also been impressive, along with goalkeeper Ederson, who I think deserves a spot in the ‘Team of the Year’ over Alisson, who seems to be the general consensus. Also, City average less than 2 goals a game on the road whilst Palace don’t even manage a goal a game here on average, I like Man City to win with under 3.5 goals.

For my other bet, I’m going to go down the corner route. With Palace games averaging 10.94 corners a game this season and Man City averaging over 8 corners per game alone, I think over 10.5 corners at just over evens is good value. With both sides potentially using a 4-3-3, we will see a lot of the ball going out to the wings, especially for Palace who will want to get Zaha on the ball as much as possible, whilst City could play two very attacking full-backs in the form of Mendy and Walker. Therefore, I’m expecting a great emphasis of attacking play coming from wide areas, giving us a good chance of accumulating some corners.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Man City to win and U3.5 goals – 23/20 (Ladbrokes)
  • 1pt – Over 10.5 corners – 6/5 (Unibet)