Euro 2020 Qualifiers Best Bets | 08/09/19

Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) assesses Monday’s Euro 2020 Qualifying matches and provides us with his best bets.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +4.03pts

Belgium v Scotland

Monday night see’s the 6th round of Euro 2020 qualification continues and one of the bets I like comes in the Scotland v Belgium game. The bet itself is in the goals market and I’m taking overs for this game, with over 2.5 goals available at odds against of 21/20. This looks a great bet when you consider the repeat leg of this game produced 3 goals. On top of this each side has only failed to hit over 2.5 goals once in each of their last 5 games.

Belgium boast a hugely talented front line, and even in the absence of Eden Hazard I would expect them to notch a few goals in this game. Scotland won’t come as a pish over either, with Steve Clarke finally starting to imprint his ideas on the squad and with players such a McGinn and Mcburnie also playing at a much higher-level week in week out they will definitely be up for the fight.

Northern Ireland v Germany

The second game that takes my eye is the Germany game. When looking through the sites for a good bet I couldn’t help but notice they are offering an over even money quote on a Germany win to nil. This seems like crazy value given how terrible Northern Ireland are in front of goal. They struggled to a 1-0 win vs Luxembourg midweek and that doesn’t boast well for when they play against the ex-World Champions.

Germany look to have had a reshape of the squad after what can only be described as a dismal World Cup, and since then they have made the UEFA Nationals League final, in a run which has seen them lose only 2 games, which were against France and Holland. To be fair to them Northern Ireland has won 5 of their last 5 games, but Estonia, Belarus and Luxembourg offer very little in comparison to Die Mannschaft.

The final bet I recommend is again with the Germans, in the form of a goalscroer. Timo Werner is in terrific form after a hat-trick last time out for Leipzig in the Bundesliga. That makes it 5 in the first 3 games for him so far this season. He also scored last time out for Germany against Estonia despite only getting 25 minutes at the end of the game.

Given Germany are favourites getting odds against for a player who is expected to start in striker seems a great bit of value again. If the player doesn’t start then I would advise against the bet, Germany do have a lot of options in the forward position so it is possible someone else may be given the nod.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Belgium v Scotland – over 2.5 goals – 21/20 (BetVictor)
  • 2pts – Northern Ireland v Germany – Germany win to nil – 23/20 (BoyleSports)
  • 2pts – Northern Ireland v Germany – Timo Werner to score anytime – 5/4 (SkyBet)