Everton v Watford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/12/18

Everton v Watford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Anthony Olsson (@Ant_olsson93) previews Everton v Watford and provides us with his best bets for Monday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Everton v Watford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 10/12/18
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Goodison Park
  • Channel: Sky Sports Main Event

Everton host Watford on Monday night looking to get back to winning ways after a tough defeat to Liverpool and a draw at home against bottom half Newcastle. Watford on the other hand will be trying to search for that early season form which saw them flying high in the top 4. Since September 15th the Hornets have only amassed 8 points from 11 games. During that time, they have scored just 9 goals and have conceded 18 in a run that has completely spoiled that early season promise. Looking even further into this poor run of form for Watford you’ll notice that they have only scored 2 goals in their last 5 games.

During the same period, Everton have amassed 17 points and have improved dramatically after only picking up 6 points from their first 4 matches. Since their defeat by West Ham on the 16th September, the Blues have also kept 4 clean sheets and have not conceded more than two goals in any one game since then. Everton are 29/20 to keep a clean sheet on Monday night.

We also should get to see Richarlison start for Everton against his former team, the Brazilian has been a bright spark for the Toffees this season after his big money move in the summer. Richarlison has 7 goals for the Blues in all competitions and he bagged the opener against Newcastle in midweek. He is 9/2 (SportPesa) to do so again on Monday.

Watford need to turn the corner at some point soon otherwise they could possibly end up in a relegation fight. They are without a win since October and they face Cardiff, West Ham and Newcastle in the coming weeks. For Watford to get anything out of this game they are going to have to be a bit more direct and they’ll have to soak up pressure and play on the break which could be the case for most of the match which will probably suit them. If the Hornets are going to turn their form around, they’ll most likely look to their talented midfielder Roberto Pereyra who has 5 goals in 15 games for them this season. Pereyra is a tricky player and helps to turn a functional Watford side into one that has a bit more quality and threat in attack. The Argentine is 9/2 (UniBet) to score at any time in the match.

There are a few stats around this fixture that are interesting. Everton have won 11 of 12 home games in all competitions against the Hornets. For me this run looks set to continue as Everton start to find their feet under Marco Silva. Everton are currently best priced 4/5 (Bet365) to win the match. If you’re looking for some extra value, then Everton to win and under 2.5 goals in the game is 16/5 (Ladbrokes) this could be good value as Everton don’t regularly put big wins on the board and Watford will be looking to keep it tight at the back. Also, Watford have only scored 1 goal away from home in their last 3 games which hopefully bodes well for us.

Team News

Everton have concerns over Morgan Schneiderlin is a doubt for the game after picking up a knock.

Watford have concerns over Will Hughes who picked up a knock in his last game and they will also be without Capoue who serves the 2nd of his 3 game suspension

Potential Everton Starting XI: Pickford, Coleman, Mina, Keane, Digne, Gueye, Gomes, Walcott, Sigurdsson, Bernard, Richarlison

Potential Watford Starting XI: Foster, Femenia, Kabasele, Cathcart, Holebas, Deulofeu, Doucoure, Chalobah, Pereyra, Success, Deeney

Head To Head

  • Everton have won 11 of their 12 home matches against Watford in all competitions, drawing the other.
  • Watford won their last league meeting with Everton in February 2018 – they have never won back to back league matches against the Toffees.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Everton’s 3-2 comeback win against Watford last season was one of only three occasions in Premier League history a team came from two goals behind to win in a game that was goalless at half-time (also Derby County 2-3 Newcastle United in April 2002 and QPR 3-2 Liverpool in March 2012).
  • Watford have failed to win any of their last nine away league matches played on a Monday (W0 D2 L7) since a 2-1 win at Scunthorpe United in January 2011 in the Championship; the Hornets’ last away top-flight win on a Monday was in May 1986 against Chelsea (P12 W0 D3 L9 since).

Betting Odds

  • Everton 4/5
  • Draw 11/4
  • Watford 21/5

The Verdict

Last time I stuck my neck out and tipped Everton to win they were soundly beaten by a resurgent West Ham side.

This time however I can’t really see Everton losing this one. They look a much better outfit at present under Marco Silva and I think they’ll get another win on Monday night.

Everton have a good historic record at home against Watford and I think with Richarlison looking back his best they’ll be able to continue that.

Recommended Bets

  • Richarlison to score first 9/2 (SportPesa)
  • Everton to win 4/5 (bet365)
  • Everton to win and under 2.5 goals 16/5 (Ladbrokes)