Giants v Eagles Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 25/11/18
Ben Rolfe (@benrolfe15) previews New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles and provides us with his best bets for a potential NFC Easy loser leaves town match by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
New York Giants v Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 25/11/18
- Time: 18:00
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
- Channel: Sky Sports Action
Out of nowhere thus has become an interesting matchup. The general consensus a few weeks ago was that the Giants season was as good as done and the Eagles were getting ready to catch fire and go on a run. However, in both cases the opposite has actually happened. The Giants have flashed signs of life on offense and the Eagles have struggled on both sides of the ball.
Since their bye week the Eagles are 0-2 and have managed to score just 27 total points in those two games. In those two games the Eagles have struggled to move the ball on the ground, averaging 64.5 rushing yards per game. They have also had four turnovers in the last two games, including three last week in New Orleans. Defensively they have surrendered an average of 478 total yards and 172 rushing yards in the last two games. Their defensive back group has been absolutely decimated allowing teams to move the ball on them with relative ease.
The New York Giants are on a two game win streak but the two teams they have defeated are teams you would expect them to do well against, the San Francisco 49ers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In those two games they have not turned the ball over once, have averaged 130 rushing yards and have an average of 32.5 points per game. On defense they have given up big chunks of yardage but have forced turnovers six times in the last two games.
The Giants defensive end Kerry Wynn is possible to miss the game with concussion. However, he is unlikely to make a major difference to the final result.
The Eagles offence will be pleased to see Jason Kelce a full participant in practice. However, linebacker Jordan Hicks and corner backs Sidney Jones, Avonte Maddox and Jalen Mills have missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday and will likely be at best limited in this game. That could be a major issue for this defense.
Head To Head
- Giants lead all-time 84-83-2.
- The Eagles have won the last four games between the two teams and 8-2 in the last 10.
- In the last five games in Philadelphia the Eagles are 4-1
Key Stats & Facts
- The Eagles are second worst in the NFL in rush yards per game since the start of October (84.8)
- Saquon Barkley leads all rookies in rushing and receiving yards this season, averaging 72.8 rushing yards per game 54 receiving yards per game. He has had under 100 combined rushing and receiving yards just once this season and had a combined 229 yards in the Giants last matchup with the Eagles.
- The Eagles defence allows the 25th best 4.7 yards per carry but have faced the second least amount of carries this season with 215.
- Josh Adams has averaged seven yards per carry over the Eagles last three games, but has not carried the ball more than nine times in that span.
- The Giants have allowed an average of 125.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 25th best in the league. They are also 24th best in terms of allowing opposing rushing touchdowns but fourth best in allowing passing touchdowns.
- Philadelphia Eagles 3/7 (188 BET)
- New York Giants 9/4 (SkyBet)
My belief is that the Philadelphia Eagles are in serious trouble and the Giants are flying high with all of their offensive pieces healthy and clicking together. I cannot believe I am getting back on this train but I really think the Giants can win this game. However, I am going to hedge by also backing them to lose by less than 5.5 points. That way I either get a double win or at the very least protect myself from a close loss.
I also expect this game to be relatively high scoring with the Eagles needing to win but having a beaten up secondary. I think both teams can score three or more touchdowns and both get into the mid to high 20s. Therefore, I would look to back both the over in terms of points scored and total touchdowns. These picks are based on the weather being expected to be a tropical 13 OC on Sunday in Philadelphia. If that changes and we get closer to freezing then I may rethink the scoring somewhat.
In terms of individual player bets I could not find any odds available at the time of posting but I like the chances of Barkley having over 120 combined rushing and receiving yards, as well as finding the end zone. I also think the Eagles make an effort to run the ball in this game and with Adams having been the most successful recently I think he can get over the 80 yard mark and perhaps even reach the magically 100-yard mark.