Football specialist James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) previews Liverpool v Manchester City and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s FA Community Shield by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -9.63pts

 Liverpool v Manchester City Community Shield Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 04/08/19
  • Time: 15:00
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium
  • Channel: BT Sport 1

Liverpool go in search of their 16th Community Shield title, which would move them ahead of Arsenal and five behind Manchester United’s 21 triumphs in this pre-season showpiece. They last appeared in this unique game back in 2006. Manchester City are chasing their sixth crown, the last of which came in last year’s renewal when defeating Chelsea 2-0. Last season’s one and two in the Premier League will meet at Wembley on Sunday afternoon looking to get something of a psychological edge over their rivals ahead of the season to come. Jurgen Klopp was perplexed recently when it was suggested the Community Shield is something of a pre-season friendly. He did not appreciate this mentality, insisting that there is a trophy to be won. One thing that can be certain, both players that take to the pitch will give their all to secure their first title of the campaign.

Team News

Liverpool could have Mo Salah and Roberto Firmino involved but it’d be surprise if they started. If they did, it could be a case of only getting 45 minutes. Jurgen Klopp only saw them, alongside Naby Keita and Xherdan Shaqiri resume training this week, so they’ll be behind the rest of the squad in relation to match fitness. Sadio Mane has been granted a longer break following his AFCON experience.

Man City also only welcomed back Ederson to training this week, so Claudio Bravo should start in goal. Benjamin Mendy is a defensive absentee because of injury, whilst Riyad Mahrez has been given extended leave after Algeria’s success at the AFCON. Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus have also only just returned following their exploits at the Copa America. Fernandinho and Nicolas Otamendi spent time with their countries over the summer, too. Raheem Sterling should remain as centre forward; a role he has played throughout pre-season.

Potential Liverpool Starting XI: Mignolet, Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson, Henderson, Fabinho, Wijnaldum, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Origi, Milner.

Potential Manchester City Starting XI: Bravo, Walker, Stones, Laporte, Zinchenko, De Bruyne, Rodri, Foden, Bernardo, Sterling, Sane.

Head To Head

  • Man City claimed four points across the two Premier League meetings with Liverpool last season (0-0 away and 2-1 at home).
  • However, Man City has only beaten Liverpool in three of the last 12 renewals, which includes two UEFA Champions League ties in the 2017/18 year.
  • Both teams met at Wembley as recently as February 2016 in the League Cup Final, with the Citizens prevailing on penalties after it finished 1-1 after 120 minutes. Klopp was in the Liverpool dugout on that occasion, with Manuel Pellegrini leading the City camp.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Both teams has scored in only five of the previous 18 H2H encounters between these two sides.
  • Liverpool dropped points in just eight Premier League games last season, two of which came versus Man City and all teams were positioned inside the top half.
  • Liverpool ended last season winning nine Premier League games in succession, Man City won 14 in succession to help them claim the league title.
  • Man City drew only two league games last season, the last being versus Liverpool in their October 2018 encounter.

Betting Odds

  • Liverpool 11/4
  • Draw 27/10
  • Manchester City 19/20

The Verdict

Whilst Jurgen Klopp won’t like me saying this, the Community Shield is still technically a pre-season game. Ultimately we don’t have any competitive form to go off prior to this. Pre-season friendly results are often a hard barometer considering that manager’s tend to spread minutes across their heavy squads. We can’t ignore the fact that Liverpool are only just introducing some of their key players back into action, and the reality is they won’t be at their best. Salah and Firmino are such a big part of their game, and missing Mane means their weaker than full strength. Of course, they was understrength against Barcelona not long ago, but circumstances are a little different now! The signing of Rodri is so key for City as it gives them a long-term replacement for Fernandinho, who has been something of an unsung hero at the Etihad over the years. I fancy City to come out on top here, although Liverpool will make a game of it.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Man City to win and Both Teams to Score – 11/4 (888Sport)