Man Utd v Bournemouth Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 30/12/18

Man Utd v Bournemouth Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Manchester United v Bournemouth and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Manchester United v Bournemouth Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 30/12/18
  • Time: 16:30
  • Venue: Old Trafford
  • Channel: Sky Sports Main Event

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will be looking to make it three wins out of three as United boss against a Bournemouth side that have struggled against the top 6 this season.

This is another great fixture for Solskjaer with Bournemouth having a woeful record against the big boys this season; losing 4-0 v Liverpool and just recently suffering a 5-0 defeat at Spurs. There’s no doubt that this side has got talent, as I mentioned in my last Bournemouth preview, but in order for Bournemouth to get to that next level, their record has to improve against the top 6, especially at home.

 

I thought they were quite unlucky on Boxing Day and the score probably didn’t reflect how the game went. Ryan Fraser and David Brooks missed big chances at 0-0 and they did have a Junior Stanislas goal ruled out for offside, albeit at 3-0 down. They were just up against an extremely clinical and confident Spurs side that made Bournemouth pay for some sloppy defending. Unfortunately for Eddie Howe’s side, they now face a rejuvenated Man United side that has scored 8 goals in 2 games.

It seems like Solskjaer is doing the job that all Man United fans wanted to see. It’s just a small sample size but we’ve already seen these United players play with so much more freedom, something we hadn’t seen at all this season under Mourinho.

Solskjaer has already used Paul Pogba in an attacking midfield role and I think the World Cup winner will really show his talent for the rest of this campaign. He’s already scored 2 and set up 2 in Solksjaer’s first two games where United beat Cardiff 5-1 and Huddersfield 3-1 on Boxing Day.

This is such a talented squad that has the youth of Martial, Rashford, Dalot and Shaw as well as Romelu Lukaku, Alexis Sanchez and Nemanja Matic, who have all proved to be world class on their day. Not to mention one of the best GK’s in the world in David De Gea. If Solskjaer can sustain the style of football we have seen since he took over, there’s no reason that with the talent amongst United’s ranks why they can’t mount a serious top 4 challenge. The key for Solskjaer is to get the likes of Sanchez and Lukaku playing at the world-class level that we’ve seen before where they were in the top 3 at their position in the PL.

If Solskjaer is a huge success until the end of the season, whether it be qualification to the Champions League or whether we just see an exciting brand of football out of Old Trafford, it’ll be interesting to see whether he stays on or if the board pursue that big name in Pochettino, Zidane or Blanc.

Team News 

Chris Smalling is likely to miss out due to a foot injury but Anthony Martial, Romelu Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez took part in light training on Thursday and may return to the squad.

Marcos Rojo and Scott McTominay are also likely to miss out.

Bournemouth suffered a huge blow on Boxing Day where captain Simon Francis sustained a long-term Achilles injury and will be out for the rest of the season. He joins Lewis Cook, Dan Gosling and Adam Smith on the sidelines.

Potential Manchester United Starting XI: De Gea, Young, Lindelof, Jones, Shaw, Matic, Pogba, Herrera, Mata, Lingard, Rashford,

Potential Bournemouth Starting XI: Begovic, Rico, Cook, Ake, Daniels, Lerma, Surman, Brooks, Fraser, King, Wilson.

Head To Head

  • All time: Man Utd-10, Draw-3, Bournemouth-2.
  • In PL: Man Utd-5, Draw-1, Bournemouth-1.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Man United are unbeaten in their last 6 v Bournemouth (W5,D1).
  • Paul Pogba has 5G’s and 5A’s in the league this season, including 2G’s and 2A’s in his last two appearances.
  • Man United have conceded 31 goals already this season, 3 more than they did all of last season.
  • Bournemouth have conceded 18 goals in 6 games v the top 6 this season.
  • Bournemouth haven’t won away from home since October 27th– 3-0 win v Fulham.
  • BTTS and O2.5 in last 6 Man Utd games, in fact, this has been the case in all but 4 United PL games.

Betting Odds

  • Manchester United 2/5
  • Draw 19/5
  • Bournemouth 7/1

The Verdict

I’m confident of a United win here and I’m expecting goals. Bournemouth’s defence on average concedes 3 goals a game against the top 6 this season and have just lost Simon Francis for the season. Their defending at Spurs was woeful but at the same time, the Cherries were very unlucky not to score, having an xG of 1.22. This Bournemouth side is exciting to watch going forward with Brooks, Wilson, King, Fraser and they will create chances at Old Trafford on Sunday. It’s just whether they can convert and I’m backing them to do so against a defence that is on course to concede 60 league goals this season and a David De Gea who hasn’t looked so De Gea on occasions this season.

The BTTS and O2.5 market looks like a banker at 21/20, United have had this in all but four of their PL games this season and that was under a manager the ‘players weren’t playing for’. They are full of confidence and I also fancy Paul Pogba to get on the scoresheet on Sunday afternoon. It’ll be a good battle between himself and Jefferson Lerma in midfield but with Pogba playing in that attacking midfield role in what is likely to be a 4-2-3-1 with the personnel Solskjaer has available, I like the 7/4 odds for Pogba to bag (4 G+A’s in last two games).

Recommended Bets

  • BTTS & Over 2.5 goals – 21/20 (Coral)
  • Paul Pogba to score anytime- 7/4 (Paddy Power)