Man Utd v Watford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 30/03/19
Football specialist James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) previews Man Utd versus Watford and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +1.48pts
Man Utd v Watford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 30/03/19
- Time: 15:00
- Venue: Old Trafford
The international break probably came at a good time for Manchester United. The first cracks of a near perfect record for Ole Gunnar Solksjaer appeared following back-to-back defeats to Arsenal and then Wolves in the FA Cup. No panic buttons are being pushed any time soon however, as three points would take them into fourth spot for a day or two at least. There is also the small matter of Barcelona to come in the UEFA Champions League, so the Red Devils will be looking to build up some momentum in the coming weeks.
Watford have a big agenda themselves in the not too distant future as an FA Cup Semi-Final appearance at Wembley against Man Utd’s conquerors Wolves is a week away. They’re having as good a season as can be expected, with Javi Gracia’s men sitting eighth in the table, with seventh very much within sight. They’re last three away defeats however have come against Man City, Liverpool and Tottenham, suggesting that they tend to struggle on the road versus sides in the upper echelons of the Premier League.
Man Utd are without Alexis Sanchez until the latter weeks of the campaign, whilst they have a number of doubts going into this weekend. Marcus Rashford, Jesse Lingard, Anthony Martial, Romelu Lukaku, Luke Shaw and Nemanja Matic didn’t feature for their respective national sides over the past week, but there are growing reports that all could be available for selection for their club this weekend. Lukaku however is the biggest worry. Alexis Sanchez is out longer-term, but it would appear that Eric Bailly, Antonio Valencia and Matteo Darmian could be back as soon as Saturday’s fixture.
Watford seemingly have no injury concerns prior to the trip to Old Trafford, assuming all of their players away on international duty returned without issue. Also, just like Man Utd, they have no suspended to worry about as well. Gracia however will recall Ben Foster in goal as Heurelho Gomes is the ‘cup keeper’ at Vicarage Road. The likes of Daryl Janmaat, Tom Cleverley and Andre Gray are all hoping to come into the reckoning from the start. A switch of formation is possible from the Hornets.
Potential Man Utd Starting XI: De Gea, Young, Smalling, Lindelof, Shaw, Herrera, Matic, Pogba, Lingard, Rashford, Martial.
Potential Watford Starting XI: Foster, Kiko, Cathcart, Mariappa, Holebas, Doucoure, Hughes, Capoue, Pereyra, Deulofeu, Deeney.
Head To Head
- This has ultimately been a one-sided affair for several years now. Man Utd has come out on top in 15 of the last 16 meetings, the one exception being a 3-1 home victory back in 2016.
- November 30th 1985 was the last time Watford returned from Old Trafford with any positive result; earning a 1-1 draw on that occasion.
- Since Watford’s return to the Premier League in 2015, these two have met on seven occasions, with the Red Devils winning six of those. Adding up all goals from those seven sees Utd scoring 13, and Watford only seven.
- Overall head-to-head record: Watford 5, Draw 5, Man Utd 21.
Key Stats & Facts
- If Man Utd fail to win this game, it would be the first time since late September/early October that they went three games in a row without winning. That time, they draw at home to Valencia in the UEFA Champions League, lost away to West Ham United in the Premier League and were knocked out of the EFL Cup at home to Derby County.
- Watford have lost six times in the Premier League since the beginning of December, five of which came against teams situated in the top six, the other being Leicester City. Watford travel to fifth in the table Man Utd on Saturday.
- Whilst Watford have only won one of their last five away Premier League clashes, they’ve only earned three points more at home than in their matches on their travels. Their most notable away scalp this season came when defeating Wolves 2-0 at Molineux back in October.
- Man Utd have only won once in their last four at Old Trafford in all competitions. Also, they’ve conceded at least twice in all of those games, only keeping a clean sheet against Liverpool, but conceding two versus Paris Saint-Germain, Southampton and Burnley. Utd have 7/19 clean sheets under the management of Norwegian Solksjaer.
- Man Utd 2/5
- Draw 10/3
- Watford 15/2
The pressure is on Man Utd to regain their momentum in pursuit of a spot inside the top four. Tottenham and Chelsea should bounce back eventually and Arsenal are finding their form, so every point is vital. Watford’s record against the better teams in the Premier League is a bit of a concern for them heading into this weekend. Also, they have a massive FA Cup Semi-Final to look forward to next week, and you just wonder if they’ll have half an eye on that contest, even now. Solksjaer should fire up his troops from the off here, and United rarely go three without winning, let alone losing three on the spin. With several key men set to return from injury, they should be too much for Watford to handle at Old Trafford. Having said that, Watford are normally good for a goal, and United have only achieved 14% clean sheets in home league encounters so far. No other Premier League team has beat the 2.50 goal line as much as games involving the Red Devils this season. Only PSG, Juventus and Spurs have defeated Man Utd at Old Trafford inside 90 minutes this season, so I don’t massively buy into the logic that it is somewhere teams fancy their chances at more these days. Finally, Watford have a dreadful record against Man Utd, losing 15 of the last 16 meetings, although they did come out on top in a 2016 contest.