Tottenham v Huddersfield Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 13/04/19

Tottenham v Huddersfield Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Tottenham Hotspur v Huddersfield Town and provides us with his best bets for Saturday lunchtime’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +7.02pts

Tottenham v Huddersfield Town Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 13/04/19
  • Time: 12:30
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Spurs will be looking to avoid an upset against already relegated Huddersfield as their quest for the top 4 has been made a little bit harder due to the likelihood of Harry Kane missing the rest of the season.

Despite the success Spurs had when Kane missed 7 games earlier on in the season, the impact the England captain has on his side is unprecedented, not only as a goal-scorer but as a creator (see Lucas goal v Liverpool) and a leader as well. Kane has matured into one of the most well-rounded strikers in Europe with some labelling him the finest in the continent. However, we all know one man that steps up to fill the void left by Kane…

Heung Min-Son has enjoyed a fine season in his 4th year of Premier League football. The South Korean’s ability on both feet from any given distance makes him so dangerous, already scoring on 12 occasions in the PL this year and twice in the Champions League (both in the knockout phase). During Kane’s first spell on the sidelines, Son netted 4 times in four starts (was at Asia Cup for other 3 games) and looks to be starting that trend again after scoring late on against City, 30 minutes after Kane was forced off. His form this season has certainly put him in the frame for a PL POTY nomination.

Spurs are coming off the back of one of their most important wins of the season; with the 1-0 scoreline on Tuesday night giving them a good chance of progressing to the semi-finals. The game was incredibly tight with chances coming few and far between as Guardiola looked to avoid a repeat of City’s 3-0 defeat at Anfield in the first leg of last year’s QF. Spurs’ work-rate and discipline out of possession was second to none with Alderweireld and Vertonghen nullifying Sergio Aguero whilst Moussa Sissoko was superb once more in that central midfield role alongside Harry Winks, who also had a fine game.

The performances of this Spurs side in this year’s Champions League have shown how far they have come under Pochettino and also the ‘character’ this squad has- scoring 2 in last 15 mins v PSV to keep hopes alive, Eriksen scoring late v Inter to keep hopes alive, Lucas equalizing late at the Nou Camp to keep hopes alive, scoring 3 in the second-half v Dortmund, weathering a hurricane in first half of second-leg at Dortmund and ending up with a 1-0 win and finally, beating the competition’s favourites after their star man is forced off. These results should give Spurs fans a lot of confidence going into the game at the Etihad, a ground where City are, well, a bit good.

Admittedly, I haven’t seen a lot of Huddersfield this year. One thing I can say is I predicted them to finish at the bottom of the pile this season and it certainly looks like that’s where they’ll be come the 12th May. This is not a top-flight squad at all and I think their survival last season was vastly underrated. They have accumulated just 14 points this season and if it wasn’t for Wolves, we could have a side worse than that infamous Derby side of 2007-08 that finished on just 11 points.

Whilst their defence hasn’t been good, conceding 63 times in 33 games, Huddersfield’s threat going forward has been nothing short of woeful. Their current tally of 19 goals means they still need two more to avoid becoming the lowest scoring side in a PL season since its inception in 1992 (that record once again held by that same Derby side). I think the fact they are comparable to that Derby side just shows how poor Huddersfield have been this season, nevertheless, I’m sure their fans have cherished seeing their side play in the top-flight, something they hadn’t achieved since gaining promotion to the first division in 1970.

With Spurs still having to go to City this season, you feel that the rest of their games are must-wins if they are to secure a top-four finish this season. At the moment, just 5 points separate 3rd and 6th with Chelsea sit in third, having a game in hand over the rest, meaning Spurs will jump into third with a win on Saturday.

Team News 

Harry Kane looks to be out for the season after suffering another ligament injury in his left ankle against City on Tuesday. Dele Alli is also a doubt after suffering a fractured wrist late on in the same game. Serge Aurier, Eric Dier and Erik Lamela are also still out for the home side.

Despite this being a must-win for Spurs, I would expect some rotation from Pochettino after Tuesday’s game and bearing in mind they go to the Etihad for the second-leg on Wednesday. Therefore, the likes of Danny Rose and Moussa Sissoko may be rested for Saturday as I’m sure they’ll be crucial parts of Poch’s plans for Wednesday.

Jan Siewart has hinted at rotating his squad once more for this one as the Huddersfield boss prepares for life in the Championship next season.

Isaac Mpenza is a doubt due to illness but striker Laurent Depoitre is nearing full fitness.

Potential Spurs Starting XI: Lloris, Trippier, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Davies, Wanyama, Winks, Lucas, Eriksen, Son, Llorente.

Potential Huddersfield Starting XI: Hamer, Smith, Schindler, Kongolo, Durm, Bacuna, Billing, Mooy, Pritchard, Lowe, Grant.

Head To Head

  • All-time: Spurs-14, Draw-13, Huddersfield-16.
  • All of Huddersfield’s victories came pre-1960.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Spurs are yet to concede in their new home after 2-0 and 1-0 wins over Crystal Palace and Man City respectively.
  • Spurs have lost four of their eight league matches following Champions League fixtures this campaign.
  • They have won 14 and lost just two of their 16 league games against the sides currently in the bottom half of the table.
  • Huddersfield have lost 18 of their last 20 league matches, winning once and failing to score in 11 of those fixtures.
  • They have lost all nine league encounters against the established top-six clubs this season, conceding 26 goals.
  • Goalkeeper Ben Hamer has conceded 17 goals in just six league matches this season, conceding a goal every 27 minutes on average.
  • Their points tally and goal-scoring record is comparable to the Derby side of 07-08, a side labelled the worst in PL history- Points: Derby-11, Huddersfield-14 (5 games left), Goals: Derby-20, Huddersfield-19.

Betting Odds

  • Spurs 3/13
  • Draw 61/10
  • Huddersfield 16/1

The Verdict

This is a tough game to find value in with the bookies making Spurs massive favourites for this one and rightly so. This is a poor Huddersfield team that is only playing to avoid being one of the worst PL sides in history. With Kane out injured, there’s no doubt Son will score and with his ‘anytime’ value being too short at ¾, I’m going to back the South Korean to get on the scoresheet first at pretty good value. Son will either play as a lone striker or in his usual right-midfield role, but, even if Llorente gets the start up front, which I think he will, then Spurs will still look to Son to be the man to get the goals, with Llorente operating as someone who creates for the likes of Son as we saw against Newcastle a couple of months ago.

The other bet I like is Spurs winning this one to nil. Spurs are yet to concede in their new home and this is a Huddersfield team that will go down as having one of the worst goal-scoring records in Premier League history, they simply have no goal-scorers in their squad. They have also scored in just one of their last seven away games. I think this one’s an absolute banker at just over evens.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Son to score first – 57/17 (Sport Pesa)
  • 2pts – Spurs to win to nil – 51/50 (Marathon Bet)