Venezuela v Peru Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 15/06/19

Venezuela v Peru Betting Preview, Odds And Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Venezuela v Peru and provides us with his best bets for this Copa America group A clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +5.995pts

Venezuela v Peru Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 15/06/19
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Arena do Gremio
  • Channel: Premier Sports

Copa America 2019 will move into its second day with Venezuela taking on Peru in group A, a group that also contains hosts Brazil as well as Bolivia.

With Brazil being the overwhelming favourites to qualify from the group in top spot, Saturday’s game will likely have great importance in determining who finishes 2nd in group A. However, with 2 out of the 3 third placers in the groups also qualifying for the quarter-finals, hope will not be lost for the side that may not get their desired result on the weekend.

These two nations have been on the rise over recent years. Venezuela have jumped 60 places to 33rd in FIFA’s world rankings whilst Peru were ranked 10th in the world at one point (October 2017), they currently sit at 21st in the world.

Peru’s rise was rewarded with qualification to the 2018 World Cup where they performed very well, despite failing to qualify from their group that contained; France, Denmark and Australia.

This is a Peru side that won’t be so well-known to a worldwide audience, but it certainly has some talent. Christian Cueva impressed in last year’s World Cup whilst 35-year-old Paolo Guerrero is his countries all-time leading goal scorer.

I think these two sides are dark-horses to do pretty well in Brazil. Venezuela have the firepower in the form of Rondon and Martinez to do some real damage whilst Peru’s cohesive spirit gives them a good chance, especially if they’re able to replicate their performances in Russia last year, where they weren’t rewarded.

Team News        

No significant injury news to report on either nation.

Both sides consist of players competing in leagues all around the world. Venezuela’s captain, Thomas Rincon, plays in the Serie A with Torino whilst Salomon Rondon, who leads the line for Venezuela is an established Premier League striker, now with Newcastle. He will likely play up top with Atlanta United’s Josef Martinez, who was vital to Atlanta’s MLS success in 2018.

Peru’s squad is probably less established worldwide, with many squad members applying their trade in South America. Andre Carrillo, formerly of Watford, Jefferson Farfan, now playing in the Russian League and Paolo Guerrero, who captains Peru and is their all-time leading goal scorer, are all players that are more well-known to a broader audience.

Potential Venezuela Starting XI: Farinez, Rosales, Chancellor, Villaneuva, Mago, Savarino, Rincon, Moreno, Murillo, Rondon, Martinez.

Potential Peru Starting XI: Gallese, Advincula, Araujo, Abram, Trauco, Tapia, Gonzales, Carrillo, Cueva, Flores, Guerrero.

Head To Head

  • Since 2004: Venezuela-4, Draw-3, Peru-4.

Key Stats & Facts

  • In their two warm-up games, Peru beat Costa Rica 1-0 but lost to Colombia 3-0.
  • In Venezuela’s three warm-up games, they drew to Ecuador, beat the USA 3-0 and lost to Mexico 3-1.
  • Peru have won this competition twice (1939, 1975) and had some success in 2011, finishing 3rd.
  • Paolo Guerrero and Jefferson Farfan are Peru’s leading two goal scorers of all-time. (Guerrero- 36 in 91 games, Farfan- 26 in 92)
  • Venezuela have never reached a Copa America final, their best finish was 4th in 2011.
  • Prior to the 2011 tournament, Venezuela’s goal difference in the Copa America was 33-145.
  • Salomon Rondon is Venezuela’s leading goal scorer with 24 goals in 73 games.
  • Venezuela and Qatar are the only two nations in this year’s competition that have never qualified for a World Cup.

Betting Odds

  • Venezuela 12/5
  • Draw 21/10
  • Peru 27/17

The Verdict

This, on paper, looks like a tight affair and has the makings of an entertaining contest. However, I’m going to back Venezuela to get the win with BTTS. I like the look of Venezuela for this tournament and I think they have the potential to reach the semi-finals. Their extra firepower in the form of Salomon Rondon, who registered 18 G+A’s in the Premier League last season and Josef Martinez, who won the 2018 MLS MVP with 31 goals in 35 games and already has 13 goals this season, gives me confidence that they’ll have enough to overcome this Peru side that looked so dangerous in Russia last summer. All of Venezuela’s last four matches have either had both teams scoring or over 2.5 goals and the recent history of this fixture suggest there will be goals, the last two games between these two ending 2-2. I don’t think you can snub this bet at 7/1.

The other bet I like is Salomon Rondon to score anytime at 13/5. The Newcastle man enjoyed another fine season in the Premier League, scoring on 11 occasions. His physical presence and aerial ability should cause the Peru backline a number of issues, it should also be noted that these Peru defenders won’t play against someone of Rondon’s capabilities on a regular basis in their respective leagues.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Venezuela to win and BTTS- 7/1 (Bet365)
  • 1pt – Rondon to score anytime- 13/5 (Betfair)