Wolves v Burnley Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 25/08/19

Wolves v Burnley Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamescormack_) previews Wolverhampton Wanderers v Burnley and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -0.23pts

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Burnley Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 25/08 /19
  • Time: 16:30
  • Venue: Molineux
  • Channel: N/A

Burnley will be looking to capitalise on Wolves’ potential Europa League hangover as they travel to Molineux for Sunday’s game.

Wolves were mightily impressive in Turin on Thursday and were rewarded with a 3-2 win over Torino. Goals from; Diogo Jota, Raul Jimenez and an own goal, mean that the English side are in a comfortable position going into the second-leg at Molineux this week. I’ve already mentioned in an earlier preview how Wolves are dark-horses for the Europa League if they do get in it. Their counter-attacking style, stout defence and ability in front of goal will cause most European teams issues and Nuno’s side will be very dangerous in two-legged football.

If they are to better what they achieved last season, these are the sorts of games they have to be getting three points from. Last season, despite their success against the top six and sides that came at Wolves, we saw them somewhat struggle against teams that deployed a low-block and were more than happy to come away with a point. They lost to one of the worst teams in Premier League history in Huddersfield twice and were beaten by the likes of Watford, Southampton, Cardiff and Palace.

With some of the creativity they’ve got, with the likes of; Ruben Neves, Joao Moutinho, Diogo Jota and even their wing-backs, you do wonder how they struggled to break down sides. They were held scoreless by bottom-half teams on seven occasions last season, that’s a record that has to improve this year and Burnley will be a great test.

Sean Dyche’s side are so tough to beat, as we saw last week at the Emirates. In their typical 4-4-2, you have to break down three brick walls. Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes are two of the most physical strikers in the league whilst Jack Cork, Jeff Hendrick and Ashley Westwood will run and run and run and run in the middle of the park.  They also have two fantastic centre-halves in the form of Ben Mee and James Tarkowski, the latter being particularly impressive against Arsenal last Saturday.

I would say full-back is where they’re weakest and we could see the intelligent Diogo Jota drift into wider channels to avoid a congested centre. I’d also be looking at Wolves’ wing-backs to be key in this one.

We all know about the physicality and poaching ability of Chris Wood and especially Ashley Barnes, but going forward, Burnley now have a little bit of an x-factor with Dwight McNeil coming through the ranks. The 19-year-old burst onto the scene last season, registering 3 goals and 5 assists in 21 PL appearances. From a left-midfield position, McNeil has the ability on the ball to beat a man 1v1 and has shown he’s capable in the final third. Under Dyche, he’ll develop even more out-of-possession as well.

Team News 

Nuno Espirito Santo will be looking to reshuffle his starting XI after using several starters in their 3-2 win in Torino on Thursday.

We should see Matt Doherty and Jonny return to the line-up whilst Patrick Cutrone could make his first Premier League start.

As for the away side, Danny Drinkwater is still unavailable as the Englishman looks to build up his fitness. Also, Robbie Brady and Steven Defour remain out.

Potential Wolves Starting XI: Patricio, Bennett, Coady, Boly, Doherty, Neves, Moutinho, Dendoncker, Jonny, Jota, Cutrone

Potential Burnley Starting XI: Pope, Lowton, Mee, Tarkowski, Pieters, Gudmundsson, Cork, Hendrick, McNeil, Wood, Barnes

Head To Head

  • All-time: Wolves-66, Draw-26, Burnley-38.
  • Wolves have won more league games versus Burnley than they have against any other side.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Wolves are unbeaten in their last nine home matches in the league. They last went 10 league matches at Molineux without defeat between April and October 1979.
  • If the scores finish level, it would be only the second time in their history that Wolves have drawn their opening three matches of a league season.
  • Patrick Cutrone’s best season at a senior level came in 2017/18, where he scored 10 goals for Milan in Serie A and 18 goals in all comps.
  • 8/13 of Wolves’ defeats last season came against sides in the bottom half of the table. That includes a 2-0 loss at Turf Moor.
  • Since the start of last season, Burnley have kept only three clean sheets in 20 Premier League away games. All three have been in 0-0 draws (at Southampton, Leicester and Watford).
  • Only Sadio Mane (15) and Sergio Aguero (14) have scored more Premier League goals in 2019 than Ashley Barnes’ 12.

Betting Odds

  • Wolves 13/15
  • Draw 28/11
  • Burnley 17/4

The Verdict

I think this is a very tough game for Wolves, one made even harder by the fact that they have two Europa League clashes in between. For me, I like the look of a Burnley ‘double chance’ for this one. We saw this Wolves side struggle against Sean Dyche and his Burnley team last season, losing at Turf Moor and scraping a 1-0 win at Molineux. It’ll be a game where Wolves will have to break down this Burnley defence, as they’ll have limited opportunity to counter. Burnley also have a threat going forward as well, particularly with Ashley Barnes.  The Austrian, yes Austrian, has three goals already this season and scored 12 last time out. He along with Chris Wood makes up a very formidable strike duo and they also have the creative spark with Dwight McNeil and Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson.

The other bet I fancy for this one is for it to be a draw at half-time. This has the makings of a tight, low-scoring contest and I would’ve backed under 2.5 goals if it was better priced. Instead, I’ll back a draw after 45 minutes. Both of Burnley’s games this season have been draws at half-time whilst Wolves are yet to score in the opening 45 in their two league games. After Thursday’s game, I’m expecting a slow start for this Wolves team and if they are able to break the Tarkowski-Mee barrier, it’ll be later on in proceedings.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Burnley double chance – 53/50 (Marathon Bet)
  • 1pt – Draw at half-time- 11/10 (Red Zone)