2019 RBC Heritage Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 RBC Heritage Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews the 2019 RBC Heritage and provides us with his best bets for this week’s event.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +61.5pts

2019 RBC Heritage Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: Thursday 18th – Sunday 21st
  • Venue: Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, South Carolina
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

Did anyone see the golf at the weekend? Not much happened did it! I won’t labour the point about how brilliant Tiger’s win was for sport and for golf, nor the story around his comeback, but I thought it was a sensational story, fitting of a true legend of sport. Yes, it cost a couple of my picks the win, but sometimes the story is bigger than the bet.

I was delighted with the performance of most of my picks. At half way, I had three tied for the lead (Day, Oosthuizen and Scott) with Schauffele and Thomas also in contention. I ended up with Day and Schauffele securing full each way pay outs, along with a hole in one win courtesy of Dechambeau and Thomas at the 16thon Sunday afternoon. Scott and Oosthuizen drifted away unfortunately with a number of missed chances and sloppy mistakes, whilst Rose uncharacteristically missed the cut.

I’m not sure how we follow that, but the RBC Heritage is upon us this week and it is a very decent field for the week after a major. Dustin Johnson heads the field, no doubt as part of his sponsor’s commitments, whilst the shift to a small tight technical track will make some players breathe a sigh of relief after the exerts of recent weeks.

Key Stats & Facts

Harbour Town is a 7,099 par 71 Pete Dye designed course. It is a tight technical track that requires accuracy off the tee, a sharp approach play and a killer short game around these small TifEagle Bermudagrass greens.

Harbour Town certainly seems to suit the more strategic player, as can be seen from the roll of honour of recent years. As it’s a coastal track, the wind can also be a factor, with water hazards on many of the holes, so players need to be creative in order to score well here.

Recent winners:

  • 2018: Satoshi Kodaira -12 (250/1)
  • 2017: Wesley Bryan -13 (80/1)
  • 2016: Branden Grace -9 (40/1)
  • 2015: Jim Furyk -18 (25/1)
  • 2014: Matt Kuchar -11 (18/1)
  • 2013: Graeme McDowell -9 (40/1)
  • 2012: Carl Petterson -14 (55/1)

Betting Odds – the top 10 in the market (Paddy Power – paying 8 places)

  • Dustin Johnson 15/2
  • Francesco Molinari 14/1
  • Bryson Dechambeau 18/1
  • Xander Schauffele 18/1
  • Jordan Spieth 20/1
  • Matt Kuchar 22/1
  • Patrick Cantlay 22/1
  • Tommy Fleetwood 22/1
  • Webb Simpson 25/1
  • Kevin Kisner 30/1

The Verdict

There isn’t a history of players coming into the RBC Heritage off the back of competing at the top end of The Masters leaderboard the week before, but don’t write off someone that did play or missed the cut. With the effects of the Masters at the weekend, I’m happy to leave DJ, Molinari, Dechambeau, Schauffele, Simpson and Cantlay behind, despite some strong arguments for many of them.  My picks this week therefore have either strong performance in placement off the tee, in their approach and/or around the greens. I’ve also selected players that have a history on playing well on wind exposed technical tracks.

  1. Kevin Kisner 30/1

Kisner had bookended 69’s at Augusta to continue his fine recent form, following his win at the WGC Match Play three weeks ago. Although he was never really in the mix last week, his stats remain strong. Kisner is 22nd in driving accuracy, 40th in approach and 37th in putting, which suggests a solid game for the test ahead this week. He also has a very nice record at Harbour Town, finishing 7th here last year, 11th in 2017 and runner up in 2015.  At 30/1 Kisner to me is the stand out each way bet of the week.

  1. Cameron Smith 45/1

A disappointing 77 from Smith on Sunday saw him drop down the Masters leaderboard and finish 51st. He currently sits, 36th in approach, 18th around the greens and 17th in putting, combined with a best finish here of 15th here in 2015, Smith has all the attributes to contend here this week. Smith is also a fantastic wind player and is always someone I have in mind for tough technical challenges. He also has a whole host of top 10 finishes this season, culminating in a 6th place at the WGC in Mexico.

  1. Marc Leishman 45/1

Leishman has been a regular here at the RBC Heritage in recent years, with a best performance of 9th in 2013, amongst some disappointing finishes. Leishman was one I looked at for the Masters last week, without pulling the trigger.  He was never in contention despite three steady rounds to start the tournament. Another fine player in the wind, Leishman currently sits 20th in approach, 37th in tee to green and 21st in scrambling. He has also had a whole host of top 5 finishes already this season, and is another technical player that I fancy at a decent each way price.

Recommended Bets: with PaddyPower (10 places)

  • Kevin Kisner 30/1 – 1pt Each Way
  • Cameron Smith 45/1 – 1pt Each Way
  • Marc Leishman 45/1 – 1pt Each Way