Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews The AT&T Byron Nelson and provides us with his best bets for this week’s event.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +49.5pts

2019 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Preview Odds & Tips

  • Date: Thursday 11th – Sunday 14th
  • Venue: Trinity Forest Golf Club, Dallas, Texas
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

It was a disappointing week for my picks at the Wells Fargo, where Sam Burns withdrew during round 1, Jason Kokrak took himself out of contention, and Aaron Wise, just couldn’t get it going in the final round, where he had a chance of grabbing a place.

So, we turn our attention to the AT&T Byron Nelson this week and looking for better fortune. In an event that changed courses last year, it’s difficult to glean too much from previous course form and event history. It’s the PGA Championship at Bethpage next week, so the field quality is definitely down, whilst many finalise their preparations for the second major of the year.

Brooks Koepka heads the field, with Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth and defending champion Aaron Wise also at the head of the betting.

Key Stats & Facts

Trinity Forest is a 7,380 par 71 course that was designed by Coore and Crenshaw. It is an inland links style track, with no trees, no rough, yet still plenty to challenge the players this week.

With wide open fairways, with only native areas to trouble the tee shot, it really is a second shot golf course, where players will need to find the right portion of these undulating putting surfaces, in order to score well. With its links style, players will therefore also need a great short game, as with various run off areas, and vast putting areas, players will be challenged to get the ball close.

I’m very excited about the event this week, as the course offers up a very different challenge to what we are used to seeing on the PGA Tour.

Recent Winners

Last year’s event was the first held at Trinity Forest, with previous renewals being held at AT&T Four Seasons.

2018: Aaron Wise -23 (50/1)

Betting Odds – the top 10 in the market (Paddy Power – paying 8 places)

  • Brooks Koepka 13/2
  • Hideki Matsuyama 12/1
  • Jordan Spieth 14/1
  • Aaron Wise 20/1
  • Henrik Stenson 22/1
  • Patrick Reed 25/1
  • Marc Leishman 25/1
  • Keith Mitchell 28/1
  • Branden Grace 30/1
  • Sunjae Im 33/1

The Verdict

With many of the leading players warming up for next week’s PGA Championship elsewhere, Brooks Kopeka looks plenty short enough to me and whilst his chances are obvious, I’ve chosen a trio of players with a fine record on links style courses and proven winners on this type of Bermuda Grass putting surfaces.

  1. Patrick Reed 25/1

I’ve been monitoring Reed for a few weeks now and nearly backed him last week. His iron play and putting have definitely had a resurgence and he looks close to being back to the quality of play that saw him win his first major at The Masters last year. An impressive first two rounds last week at the Wells Fargo had him in contention going into the weekend, however his play stalled a little in rounds three and four, and he slipped back down the leaderboard. I’m encouraged enough though to back him this week at an event he finished 20th for last year.

With a proven record on coastal style tracks and on links style golf, Reed appeals at an each way price this week.

  1. Marc Leishman 25/1

Leishman is always someone I look to on links style challenges. He has competed at the top of the leaderboard at the Open Championship, with three top 6 finishes in recent years, as well at performing well at other coastal tracks. Leishman was also Aaron Wise’s closest challenger at this event last year. With a focus on the 2nd shot this week, the Australian is also 16th in strokes gained approach.

After a win and a host of top 5 finishes earlier in the season, Leishman has been a bit off the boil more recently, but in returning to a track he played so well at last year and a style of golf that he clearly loves, he has all the attributes to compete once again this week.

  1. Branden Grace 30/1

Another player who just screams out to me on this type of tough links style challenge is Branden Grace. He is famed for his performances at Birkdale in the Open Championship where he shot a record equalling 62, and at Chambers Bay, where he had a great chance of winning. The South African star is also a double winner of both the Alfred Dunhill Links and the Qatar Masters. It’s plain and simple; Grace excels on Links style tracks.

Grace was also 3rd here at Trinity Forest last year. His recent form has certainly been mixed, however he is showing glimpses of a return to his best. He played some great golf with Justin Harding at the Zurich Classic, where the pair were in contention until the final day, along with a decent run at the World Match play where he made it out of his group. I simply cannot leave Grace out this week.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt Each Way – Patrick Reed 25/1
  • 1pt Each Way – Marc Leishman 25/1
  • 1pt Each Way – Branden Grace 30/1