2019 Italian Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Italian Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews the Italian Open and provides us with his best bets for this week’s latest event in the Rolex Series.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -26.8pts

2019 Italian Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 10/10/19
  • Time: First tee off 7am (GMT)
  • Venue: Olgiata Golf Club, Rome, Italy
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

It was another fast start for my picks last week at the Shriners Hospital Open, with all three starting well in round 1. In what has become a familiar tale I recent weeks, none of them could keep it going over the weekend, with Morikawa finishing down in 42nd and Scheffler falling apart over the weekend to finish 74th.

With a very poor field in the PGA Tour this week, I return to Europe and the latest in the big money Rolex Series, and the Italian Open. Back at the Oligata Golf Club for the first time since 2002, when Ian Poulter, lifted the trophy, the Italian Open is one of the most prestigious events on the European Tour, and with the huge purse on offer, has unsurprisingly attracted a stellar field. Paul Casey, Justin Rose and Francesco Molnari head the way, with Open Champion Shane Lowry, winner of the BMW PGA, Danny Willett and Matt Fitzpatrick also teeing it up in Rome.

Suspended, Thorbjorn Olesen is the defending champion.

Recent winners of Italian Open

  • 2018 – Thorbjorn Olesen
  • 2017 – Tyrrell Hatton
  • 2016 – Francesco Molinari
  • 2015 – Rikard Karlberg
  • 2014 – Hennie Otto
  • 2013 – Julien Quesne
  • 2012 – Gonzalez Fernandez-Castano
  • 2011 – Robert Rock

Key Stats & Facts

Oligata Golf Club, is a 7,523 par 71, which has been lengthened since its last use in this event in 2002. Whilst it should still play as a very typical Italian Open venue, tight off the tee, tree lined and tricky greens, I’m favoring those players who are performing strong from tee to green, and in particular have an excellent approach game, to challenge this week.

The Rolex Series tends to see the game’s elite contend with Shane Lowry, Jon Rahm, Bernd Wiesberger and Danny Willett taking the bug prizes so far this season.

Betting Odds

  • Paul Casey 9/1
  • Justin Rose 11/1
  • Francesco Molinari 16/1
  • Shane Lowry 20/1
  • Danny Willett 20/1
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1
  • Matt Wallace 25/1
  • Tyrrell Hatton 33/1
  • Erik Van Rooyen 33/1
  • Bernd Wiesberger 35/1

The Verdict

With Casey, Rose and Molinari all short prices at the top of the market, I’m picking a trio of players from the midfield, who have all shown excellent form recently, are strong from tee to green, and excel on tree lined tough tests.

Matt Wallace

A serial winner last year, Wallace is back in form and desperate to secure his place on the 2020 Ryder Cup team. With points for next autumn’s renewal now counting towards Padraig Harrington’s team, I expect Wallace to be highly motivated to put in a run of performances that propels him into automatic pick reckoning.

His series of recent form, I’ve written before, but 3rd at the KLM Open, 15th at the Alfred Dunhill, 14th at the Scottish Open, 12th at the US Open, 3rd at the US PGA and 2nd at the British Masters, clearly indicate a return to winners circle may not be far away. A very strong driver of the ball with decent iron play along with an impressive putter, Wallace has the all round game to go very close here in Rome.

Bernd Wiesberger

Winner at the Scottish Open in July, Wiesberger is firmly back in form after an injury ridden 2018. 2nd at the Irish Open, 5th at the European Open and 17th at Wentworth, shows me his is primed for another challenge this week. Impressively 5th in GIR, 30th from tee to green and 22nd in approach, the Austrian is playing very well.

Joost Luiten

A regular favourite of mine, especially on tests like this week, Luiten’s tee to green game is as good as there is right now. Ranking 3rd from tee to green, 8th in approach, 9th off the tee and a hugely impressive 2nd in GIR, Luiten ticks all the boxes for me this week. He’s had a run of good results, including a 10th at his home KLM Open, if he can get his putter going, he looks a cracking each way pick.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt Each Way – Matt Wallace @ 25/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – Bernd Wiesberger @ 35/1 (Sky Bet)
  • 1pt Each Way – Joost Luiten @ 45/1 (Paddy Power)