Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Atletico Madrid v Bayer Leverkusen and provides us with his best bets for Tuesdays Champions League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +3.63pts
Atletico Madrid v Bayer Leverkusen Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 22/10/19
- Time: 17:55
- Venue: Wanda Metropolitano
- Channel: BT Sport
Atletico seem to be getting haunted by their old fortunes of drawing too much. They have now drawn 4 of their last 5 league fixtures in a row. They sit 3 points behind leaders Barcelona and had only 2 of these 4 draws resulted in wins they would find themselves top. 3 of those draws have been 0-0 with typifies Simeone’s style of football, and if they don’t find that breakthrough, they will find this score line appearing even more often.
Leverkusen will likely be happy with the start thieve made domestically. Despite not the greatest of starts they sit only 2 points off the top, which is surprising considering they are currently 9th in the table, that’s how tight knit the Bundesliga is this year. As for the Champions League they’ve made a horror start, 2 losses from 2. The Juventus one not so much but losing 2-1 at home to Lokomotive Moscow has put a huge dent in any possibility they could qualify from this group, a result against Atletico is vital.
This game will be very tight from start to finish, with both teams needing the points for different reasons. Atletico know it’s going to be hard away at Juve, so they need to rack up enough points before then to try secure top spot. Should Leverkusen lose this match its likely that any chance for them to qualify will be distinguished.
Atletico are missing their youthful superstar Joao Felix, along with Sime Vrsaljko and Stefan Savic.
Leverkusen also have their fair share of injuries. Winger Leon Bailey, fullback Mitchell Weiser and midfielder Aránguiz will all be huge blows to Leverkusen’s chances.
Potential Atletico Starting XI: Oblak, Trippier, Giminez, Felipe, Lodi, Koke, Partey, Saul, Lemar, Costa, Morata
Potential Bayer Leverkusen Starting XI: Hrádecky, Bender, Tah, Bender, Wendell, Demirbay, Baumgartlinger, Amiri, Havertz, Bellarabi, Volland
Head To Head
- The sides met in 1/8th finals in 2017, where Atletico came out 4-2 winners on aggregate.
- In total 3 of the 6 meetings have ended as draws, along with 2 wins for Atletico and 1 for Leverkusen.
Key Stats & Facts
- Atleitco have not lost a game when going ahead since the start of the 18/19 season.
- They have also won 6 of the last 9 fixtures that Savic has missed.
- 3 of Leverkusen’s last 5 UEFA games have produced over 4.5 goals.
- Atletico 3/5
- Draw 11/4
- Bayer Leverkusen 5/1
The main bet I am going for here follows on with Atletico’s similar trend, being a lack of goals. I expect the side to win here given how poor Leverkusen have been in Europe this season. Atletico have only seen over 4.5 goals once in all competitions this season, worth noting they also won that one as well. Leverkusen have only seen over 4.5 goals once as well, which shows how rare high scoring games are with the pair. To get just over even money seems great value, I was surprised to see Atletico going off as high as 4/6, but this nice little addition gives us odds-against.