Champions League Best Bets | 13/08/19

Tom Love (@TomLove_18) assesses Tuesday’s Champions League third qualifying round second leg matches and provides us with his best bets.

  • Profit & Loss: +15pts

Ajax v PAOK

I was majorly surprised to see that Ajax have to go through qualifying in order to get to the group stages of the Champions League. Let's bare in mind the fact that they won the Eredivisie title and progressed to the semi-finals of the Champions League last season yet that isn't enough to see them automatically reach the groups yet teams like Lokomotiv Moscow, Galatasary and Genk do? Bizarre.

You could also argue that it's slightly unfair on PAOK too, after all they cruised to the Greek title last season but it's more understandable due to the overall quality of the league.

The first leg ended 2-2 and some poor mistakes from Ajax let the well backed Thessaloniki based side in but they two away goals could prove vital for the Amsterdam outfit.

With the various outgoings at Ajax including Mattias De Ligt and Frenkie De Jong means Erik Ten Hag has had to mix up his side. Their two holding midfielders were a right back and a centre back last season in Noussair Mazraoui and Daley Blind. Youngster Per Schaars has been moved up from the Jong Ajax side in centre half to replace Blind and Joel Veltaman looks to be full time right back now.

It may take a while for these players to get used to their new positions and despite being at home I can't help but feel they lack too short at 1/3. PAOK are no mugs as they proved last season and given Ajax have two away goals they will have to push at some point. Therefore both teams to score looks a much more attractive price at 5/6.

Ferencvaros v Dinamo Zagreb

Another game that is tightly poised is between the Hungarian and Croatian champions. Ferencvaros went to Zagreb and came away with an impressive 1-1 draw despite being under the cosh for most of the game.

The famous Budapest based club are managed by Ukrainian legend Sergey Rebrov and he's done very well to get them this far in the first place. They've got the away goal here and that gives them a good chance although they're still slight outsiders in the ‘to qualify' market.

Even though they've got this far they have conceded in all four games against previous opponents Ludogorets and Valletta which shows they're no good at the back. With Dinamo having the stronger squad with Olmo and Petkovic going forward they're capable of getting an away goal. So once again BTTS looks the go to bet.

Dynamo Kiev v Club Brugge

Ukrainian runners-up Dynamo Kiev have it all to do after suffering a 1-0 loss in Belgium last week. They tend to be pretty poor on the road so it was no real surprise that they didn't get a result in Brugge, they'll be glad to get back to base on Tuesday night.

There's a youngster who's drawing a few admirable glances for Dynamo. 21 year old Viktor Tsygankov bagged 18 goals last season and he's managed to carry this team forward. With his age he should even get better and will be a big player here.

They're available at odds against in a game they simply have to win and bests believe their fans will make it a hostile atmosphere for the away side. Brugge have lost two key players in Danjuma and Wesley who have both made moves to the premier league to Bournemouth and Aston Villa. That does leave them slightly light in forward areas.

This has the looks of a narrow home win and I wouldn't be surprised if it goes right through to penalties but I expected them to be odds on so there looks to be a bit of value in the 23/20 quotes with BetVictor.

Recommended Bets

  • Ajax v PAOK – BTTS @ 5/6 (bet365)
  • Ferencvaros v Dinamo Zagreb – BTTS @ 37/50 (MarathonBet)
  • Dynamo Kiev v Club Brugge – Dynamo Kiev To Win @ 23/20 (BetVictor)