Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Slavia Prague vs Borussia Dortmund and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday's clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019/2020 Season Profit & Loss: +18.85pts
Slavia Prague v Borussia Dortmund Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 02/10/19
- Time: 17:55pm
- Venue: Sinobo Stadium
- Channel: BT Sport ESPN
Slavia Prague no doubt bust punters' coupons a fortnight ago as they scraped a 1-1 draw at the San Siro against Inter Milan in the early kick off. They're involved in the early game again on Wednesday as they welcome Borussia Dortmund to the Czech capital.
Dortmund have had a few hiccups of late with three consecutive draws against Barcelona, Frankfurt and Werder Bremen. With them failing to get the job done in those games I couldn't back them at odds-on although I'd expect they'll be going in midweek coupons blind. Don't underestimate this tough Slavia side though, they deserve respect. They're unbeaten this season and have been rock solid at the back with 11 clean sheets in their 14 competitive games this season.
They've got a solid set up and central midfielder Tomas Soucek is impressing again after a good campaign last season. They'll fancy their chances of an upset and should have confidence going into this big game. It will be their toughest test though with a real step up in class in terms of attacking opposition.
Dortmund have brought back Mats Hummels to the club and he has been great for the most part. Thomas Delaney and Axel Witsel provide a strong base for the attacking quadrant to do their thing. It will be a case of them being diminutive and clever in tight spaces for this game you'd imagine against a well drilled Slavia side.
Slavia Prague have no injury concerns.
Dortmund are without goalkeeper Marvin Hitz whilst Nico Schulz is a doubt.
Potential Slavia Prague XI: Kolar, Coufal, Horvoka, Kudela, Boril, Traore, Husbauer, Soucek, Stanciu, Masopust, Olayinka.
Potential Borussia Dortmund XI: Burki, Piszcek, Akanji, Hummels, Hakimi, Delaney, Witsel, Sancho, Reus, Brandt, Alcacer.
Key Stats & Facts
- Slavia Prague have seen under 2.5 goals land in each of their last 7 champions league games.
- Dortmund have seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 champions league games.
- Dortmund have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 champions league ties.
- Slavia Prague – 3/1
- Draw – 29/10
- Borussia Dortmund – 10/11
It's a tough one to weigh up this one, will Slavia sit back and try soak up pressure to take a point or will they try and target Dortmund's porous defence and go for the win? Without knowing which approach they'll take I find it extremely tough to get involved in the outright market. However, the pairs stats in the champions league have been tales of low goals. True, its not something you'd expect when Dortmund are involved but they've been poor in front of goal on European soil and that's made for quite a few surprisingly drab affairs.
The Czech outfit play compact with three defensive minded midfielders in a 4-3-1-2 formation. They'll make space at a premium and that is when Dortmund struggle. BVB love the big pitches so they can use the counter attack to their advantage but it's quite a tight stadium in Prague and they may have to find alternative methods to goal. With some 17/20 available on under 3 on the asian goal line I'm more than willing to get involved. This bet gives us added insurance compared to backing under 2.5 because if exactly 3 goals are scored then we get our money back. The only way we lose is if there's 4 or more goals.
Instead I'll dip into the cards market and I like the look of the hosts to pick up more booking points than their opponents. Dortmund have seen just 4 yellow cards in their opening six Bundesliga games, one of the lowest in the league. Slavia have seen 22 yellows and 1 red in their opening 11 domestic fixtures which averages out at over 2 cards per game.
It's fair to say that the visitors carry the greater attacking threat with the likes of Marco Reus, Julian Brandt, Paco Alcacer, Thorgan Hazard and Jadon Sancho. Sancho especially will look to give Slavia left back Jan Boril a torrid time and the 11/4 on Boril to be cautioned looks worth a play too. He's been carded 3 times already in just 7 appearances and this will be his toughest opponent to date.