2019 Andalucía Masters Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Andalucía Masters Betting Preview, Odds And Tips

Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews The Andalucía Masters and provides us with his best bets for this week’s event.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +48.8pts

2019 Andalucía Masters Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: Thursday 27th – Sunday 30rd
  • Venue: Valderrama, Sotogrande, Spain
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

Chez Reavie won at the Travellers last week, to continue his fine form, a first PGA win for some 11 years. Bryson DeChambeau grabbed a shared 8th place for my preview, giving a small return in what otherwise was a disappointing week.

My attention now turns to the European Tour with three high profile events in the run up to The Open Championship in mid July.

The Andalucía Masters is held at Valderamma once again, where host Sergio Garcia is going for the three-peat. Jon Rahm, Matt Fitzpatrick and Joost Luiten are also in attendance, in what is set to be a fascinating event.

Key Stats & Facts

Valderamma is one of the most famous and iconic courses in Spain. Synonymous with Seve and the Ryder Cup in 1997, this tight tree lined Trent Jones designed track showcases the Andalucía Masters once again.

This 7,000 yard par 71 is a true technical test, with players required to hit shots both ways amongst this tight and fiddly tree lined course. The greens are tiny as well, so players with high greens in regulation and tee to green stats will often prosper. Miss the target here and your scrambling will need to be absolutely hot to escape penalty.

Recent winners of the Andalucía Masters

  • 2018: Sergio Garcia -12
  • 2017: Sergio Garcia -12
  • 2011: Sergio Garcia -6
  • 2010: Graeme McDowell -3 

Betting Odds – the top 10 in the market (Paddy Power – paying 7 places)

  • Sergio Garcia 11/2
  • Jon Rahm 6/1
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 9/1
  • Joost Luiten 20/1
  • Julian Suri 28/1
  • Mike Lorenzo-Vera 30/1
  • Jorge Campillo 33/1
  • Thomas Detry 33/1
  • Ross Fisher 35/1
  • Matthias Schwab 35/1

The Verdict

With Sergio going for his 4th win at this event and third in a row, he is an obvius favourite, but he is game is not sharp enough right now to warrant selection at 11/2. Rahm and Fitzpatrick are obvious challengers, but I’m keen to look further down the list to select a trio of players in form and primed for the challenge ahead at Valderamma.

  1. Joost Luiten 20/1

A firm favourite of mine, Luiten looks a cracking each way bet this week.  After injuries blighted his progress last year, 2019 has seen him build up a plethora of high end finishes, including; 3rd in Abu Dhabi, 6th in Saudi, 10th at the WGC Mexico, 12th in Oman and 8th at the British Masters. A first win of the season looks close, and his stats back that up. He is currently 11th in strokes gained off the tee, 11th in GIR and 2nd in tee to green. All are excellent markers for the fiddly test that awaits at Valderamma.

His record here is brilliant as well, finishing runner up in 2016 and 2017, as well as 11th in 2018. Luiten to me is the man to beat this week.

  1. Adrian Otaegui 45/1

I think if a course was made for Otaegui’s game, it is Valderamma. He is known for his ability at shot making on short, tree lined tracks. A best place of 12th in 2017, suggests he is getting to grips with the track. His two European Tour wins have come in match play events, but I think it’s only a matter of time, before he gets across the line in a 72 hole stroke play.

With a host of top 25 finishes in recent events after a scintillating record in 2018, Otaegui has shown he can challenge once again. He sits 32nd in driving accuracy, and 39th in greens in regulation, all suggesting his game is in fine fettle and gives us a tasty each way price.

  1. David Lipsky 50/1

The American has had a very solid year finishing; 10th at the WGC Mexico, 13th at the Maybank, 5th at the Trophee Hassan and 5th at the Volvo Open. Lipsky was also the winner of the Alfred Dunhill back in December.  He importantly has good correlating form at another short and fiddly track, at the Hong Kong Open and was 22nd here last year. Lipsky has a very solid all round game and looks set to improve on his 22nd place here last year.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts Each Way – Joost Luiten 20/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – Adrian Otaegui 45/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – David Lipsky 50/1 (Paddy Power)