2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 8 Betting Preview & Tips

2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 8 Betting Preview & Tips

Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day eight of the men’s BNP Paribas Open and provides us with his best bets for the first Masters 1000 tournament of the year.

  • 2019 Profit and Loss: +5.77pts

2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 8 Betting Preview & Tips

  • Date: 14 March 2019
  • Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, United States
  • Channel: Amazon Prime Video/Tennis TV

Thursday marks day eight at the BNP Paribas Open as the top half of the draw begin quarter-final action.

We endured a barren day after landing successive long shots earlier this week as Philipp Kohlschreiber surrendered meekly to Gael Monfils and Kyle Edmund was unable to eke out a tie-break against Roger Federer.

Kohlschreiber never really got out of the blocks against the Frenchman, losing 6-0, 6-2 in under an hour, and credit must go to Monfils who continues to defy expectations in 2019 and finally appears settled between the ears.

Edmund, meanwhile, was hapless to stem another Federer masterclass earlier in the afternoon, although he did fashion three break points when the Swiss was serving for the victory and on another day he could have easily forced a tie-break.

Our fortunes on the outright front were mixed as Milos Raonic eased past Jan-Lennard Struff, 6-4 6-3, to set-up a quarter-finals showdown with Miomir Kecmanovic, but John Isner conjured a horrific second set tie-break in his straight sets loss to Karen Khachanov, 6-4 7-6(1).

The Verdict

Dominic Thiem enjoys conditions at Indian Wells and it’s little surprise to many that he has discovered hard court solace in the slower conditions in the Californian desert.

He is within two sets to sealing a place in the semi-finals – in the half of the draw now departed by Novak Djokovic no less – but a resurgent Monfils stands in his way.

The Austrian is yet to drop a set this week and we profited from his pedigree in these conditions in the third round when he outgunned Gilles Simon in straight sets.

And he has been granted another evening assignment after dissecting the booming serve of Ivo Karlovic yesterday and with that in mind it is head-scratching that the Austrian opens as a 13/10 underdog.

Similar to Kohlschreiber, Thiem enjoys the slower conditions with his prolonged swinging motion off both wings and he will take comfort from his triumph over the Frenchman at Indian Wells two years ago.

Of course, that was a very different Monfils who showed up that day – losing comfortably 6-3 6-2 – but the Frenchman is winless in four attempts against Thiem (his only two successes coming via retirement) and two were on clay.

We were hoodwinked into believing Kohlschreiber’s head-to-head with Monfils mattered little after a career-defining win in the previous round over the world number one, but that was clearly a factor in the German’s virtual no-show.

With that in mind, backing Thiem to win at 13/10 is worth a shot.

Elsewhere, our 4/1 quarter outright is in play as Raonic squares off against first-time Masters 1000 quarter-finalist Kecmanovic at around 8PM GMT.

The Serbian has won only two matches en route to this stage after benefitting from a Yoshihito Nishioka retirement in the round of 16 and as such there will be plenty of energy in his legs.

But the Canadian will fancy his chances in the peak of the afternoon and his level in the second set especially against Struff yesterday is cause for optimism.

Recommended Bets

  • 0.8pts – Dominic Thiem to win – 13/10 (Unibet)