Brighton v Man City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 12/05/19
Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Brighton v Manchester City and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s 15:00 pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -23.16pts
Brighton v Manchester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 12/05/19
- Time: 15:00
- Venue: Amex Stadium
- Channel: N/A
Manchester City’s job is simple. Win the game and win the Premier League. Even if City Lost and Liverpool were to draw, the goal difference of +4 means that Liverpool must win and hope City do fail to take the points on the south coast.
City are 1/9 to lift the trophy on Sunday, with copies of both trophies at both respective grounds in the event Liverpool pull it off and sit at 7/1 to lift the title. City however play a Brighton side, who have escaped relegation for another season and will be amongst the pack again next season if they are unable to shake off this season’s downturn.
Jose Izquierdo is a confirmed casualty, with Davy Propper hoping to at least begin on the bench.
Chris Hughton is likely to stick with 9-10 players that pocketed a draw against last weekend.
Fernandinho may feature pending a final fitness check, but Kevin De Bruyne and Claudio Bravo are both out due to respective issues.
Pep Guardiola is likely to feature much of the side that won a narrow contest versus Leicester last week.
Potential Brighton Starting XI: Ryan, Bruno, Duffy, Dunk, Bernardo, March, Bissouma, Stephens, Grob, Knockaert and Murray
Potential Man City Starting XI: Ederson, Walker, Kompany, Laporte, Zinchenko, Silva, Gundogan, Foden, Sterling, Aguero and Silva
Head To Head
- Manchester City 4-0-1 (Last five)
Key Stats & Facts
- Manchester City have won their last thirteen Premier League games.
- There has been under 2.5 goal scored in City’s six of the last seven, with fewer than three goals resulting in eight of the last ten at home for Brighton.
- Brighton are winless in the last eight, with City keeping a clean sheet in six of their last seven.
- Brighton – 18/1 Betfair
- Draw – 8/1 Bet365
- Manchester City – 91/500 Marathonbet
The job for City is easy, and this is to win to capture the title! At around the 1/6 mark though away from home is bound to put punters off. With Brighton without a win in the last eight justifies the 18/1 as being in a different league of class having nothing but pride to play for.
To find any sort of play here on the strength of the forecasted side would suggest in opposing City as short as 4/9 to be winning at half time and full time. The stats suggest Man City have been drawing at half time and winning at full time in their last 3 matches and is 4/1 with BetVictor.
Considering they are so short to win the game, was surprised that they are almost evens to win to nil, which has been achieved in six of the last seven. The hosts have netted just four times in the last nine at home, which must be considered as a runner.
The other runner is considering the match win and under/over goals market. Various bookmakers going 23/20 on City to win and under 3.5 goals, which has netted in just four of Pep’s eighteen on the road. Coral are 4/6 on City winning and under 4.5 goals, which giving an implied 60% chance of landing and landed just once this season against Cardiff.
City may have some jitters and don’t need to go all out to win netting no more than 3 in any of the last 12 away from home and only conceded more than a single goal on 3 occasions away this season.
Brighton may have one eye on the beach, but Brighton gaffer Chris Hughton may need to consider a clear out of players over the summer transfer window, so some players should be playing more for pride if anything.