Mallorca v Real Madrid Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 19/10/19

Mallorca v Real Madrid Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Football specialist James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) previews Mallorca v Real Madrid and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s La Liga contest by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -6.08pts

Mallorca v Real Madrid Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 19/10/19
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Estadi de Son Moix
  • Channel: Premier Sports

It has been a tough adjustment to life back in the Spanish top flight for Mallorca but they head into this clash on the back of a home win versus Espanyol. Both of their two wins came in front of their own supporters, although they have lost both clashes against ‘big clubs’ like Atletico Madrid and Valencia so far, both 2-0. Real Madrid continue to be under scrutiny from several quarters, but they do lead the way in La Liga going into the weekend. A trip to Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League is to come next week but they’ll be eager to win this weekend before meeting Barcelona in El Clasico.

Team News

Mallorca are still without long-term absentees Baba Rahman and Cucho, whilst Aleksandar Sedlar has been missing for the past six games and Pablo Chavarria has only had seven minutes of football all season. It is anticipated that Vincente Moreno will name the same starting eleven that defeated Espanyol prior to the international break.

Real Madrid should welcome back James Rodriguez but they’re sweating on the fitness of Luka Modric and Gareth Bale after the pair suffered knocks when meeting for Croatia and Wales respectively over the international break. Toni Kroos didn’t appear for Germany after suffered an issue against Granada recently. However, Marcelo is likely to return from injury, whilst Thibaut Courtois played for Belgium, meaning he too has recovered. Ferland Mendy remains a doubt, too. Nacho and Marco Asensio won’t be back until 2020.

Potential Mallorca Starting XI: Reina, Sastre, Valjent, Raillo, Gamez Lopez, Baba, Sevilla, Rodriguez, Febas, Junior, Budimir.

Potential Real Madrid Starting XI: Courtois, Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Marcelo, Casemiro, Kroos, Bale, James, Hazard, Benzema.

Head To Head

  • Saturday will be the first H2H meeting between these two teams since 2013.
  • Real Madrid have won the last five encounters, scoring a total of 14 in the last three combined.
  • Mallorca last defeated Real at home in a Copa del Rey tie in January 2008. Their last home league triumph in this fixture was February 2006, with a certain Zinedine Zidane in the Madrid starting XI that day.
  • Real Madrid have won on four of their last five visits to this stadium, keeping clean sheets in three.
  • Seven of the last ten renewals featured over 2.5 goals, but only half contained both teams scoring.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Both of Mallorca’s La Liga wins this season came in home games, scoring twice in each. However, they’ve failed to score in five of their eight league fixtures so far, three of which came at home.
  • Although Zidane is seemingly under big pressure, Real Madrid have lost only once all season, coming away at PSG in the UEFA Champions League. They went into this weekend top of the league table, being the only unbeaten La Liga club after eight matches.
  • Only four teams have scored fewer goals than Mallorca in the Spanish top flight and only three teams have conceded more. For Real Madrid, only Barcelona and Villarreal have more goals, whilst three teams have a tighter defensive record.
  • Half of Madrid’s league games contained over 3.5 goals, but only one of Mallorca’s eight has done so.
  • Real Madrid has the best first-half record in La Liga by winning four and drawing four at the interval. On the contrary, only Leganes has a weaker second half record in comparison to Mallorca.
  • Mallorca has scored double but conceded double the amount of goals in the second-half of games compared to the first. Real Madrid have scored eight times in each half, but conceded just once before the break.

Betting Odds

  • Mallorca 5/1
  • Draw 7/2
  • Real Madrid 1/2

The Verdict

The easy thing to do would be for Real to rotate players ahead of a UCL game where they travel to Turkey and then Barcelona next weekend. However, Barcelona look to be hitting top gear again so Zidane will be keen to retain top spot heading into El Clasico. The big advantage Real Madrid have is that Mallorca do struggle for goals, having failed to score in five matches already. The league leaders have kept back-to-back away league clean sheets, at Sevilla and Atletico Madrid of all places, so they can be tough to break down when you put their minds to it. I fancy them to win and keep a clean sheet in the process, with Mallorca offering limited threat. My second play is for Karim Benzema to be first to find the back of the net. Going into this weekend he is joint-top scorer in the division. These goals came across five games and he netted first in each. We have good value on him doing the same here, and the fact he doesn’t play for France means he had the international break to freshen up in preparation for this one.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Real Madrid to win ‘to nil’ – 7/4 (Sky Bet)
  • 1pt – Karim Benzema First Goalscorer – 13/4 (888Sport)