Tottenham v Dortmund Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 12/02/19
Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Tottenham v Borussia Dortmund and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday’s Champions League clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -9.8pts
Tottenham v Dortmund Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 13/02/19
- Time: 20:00pm
- Venue: Wembley Stadium
- Channel: BT Sport
This is another mouth-watering last 16 tie as Spurs welcome Dortmund. The pair have met quite often in seasons gone by, both were in the same group in the Champions League last season as well as meeting in the knockout stages of the Europa League in 2016.
Spurs will be frustrated that this tie comes too early for both Harry Kane and Dele Alli who may come back into contention for the away leg. They will, however, be delighted that Heung Min-Son has come back from the Asia cup in excellent form and Mauricio Pochettino will be pinning his hopes on the South-Korean and Christian Eriksen to do the damage going forward.
The North-London outfit have carried on picking up points whilst not playing overly well which is a highly desirable trait. They will be looking to go into the second leg with an advantage however if they got a draw here it wouldn’t be a major disaster given they’re likely to have the big hitters back for the trip to North-Rhine Westphalia.
It’s been a wonderful season to be a Dortmund fan and the Yellow wall have been treated to some breathless encounters this term. Their attacking roster could claim to be one of the continent’s elite. Jadon Sancho will obviously get a lot of the headlines and his pace, control and skill has been evident week in week out.
Marco Reus remains a key player for BVB but he is injury prone and is unavailable for this clash, it’s a huge blow for the visitors. Striker Paco Alcacer is also out so Lucien Favre may have to play Mario Gotze as a false nine. Furthermore, Manuel Akanji is a doubt for the trip to Wembley too as is Julian Weigl and Lukas Piszczek leaving them light at the back.
Spurs are with Kane, Alli, and Ben Davies. Eric Dier and Erik Lamela are also doubts along with Danny Rose. Juan Foyth is now included in the Champions League squad due to Moussa Dembele’s January departure.
Potential Tottenham XI: Lloris, Trippier, Sanchez, Foyth, Alderweireld, Walker-Peters, Sissoko, Winks, Eriksen, Son, Llorente.
Potential Borussia Dortmund XI: Burki, Akimi, Zagadou, Diallo, Guerreiro, Delaney, Witsel, Bruun-Larsen, Phillip, Sancho, Gotze.
Key Stats & Facts
- The last five meetings between these two have all seen over 2.5 goals land.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Dortmund’s last 8 in all competitions.
- 9 of Spurs’ last 13 games have seen over 2.5 goals (in all comps).
- Tottenham Hotspur – 11/10
- Draw – 13/5
- Borrussia Dortmund – 27/10
I think the prices in the 1X2 market are probably bang on so it’s not something I’m looking at. Alternatively, it’s pleasing to see over 2.5 goals being priced up at a backable 17/20 (WilliamHill).
Dortmund games this season are seeing a monstrous average of 3.7 goals per game whereas Spurs games are slightly more conservative with an average of 3. Given those stats I was expecting the goal line to be at 2.75 minimum so to see a flat 2.5 being offered looks attractive.
I’m a massive fan of Heung Min-Son and his record against Dortmund is phenomenal. Stretching back to his days at Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen it has remained a constant theme. In the 10 games that he has played against BVB he has been on the winning side on 6 occasions and has scored 8 goals including in each of his last 3 vs the Germans. Ironically he also scored for his national side against Germany at the World Cup.
He’s 21/10 to score anytime with Unibet and that’s a standout price. He’s as short as 11/10 elsewhere.