2019 Wells Fargo Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Wells Fargo Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews The Wells Fargo Championship and provides us with his best bets for this week’s event.

  • 2019: Profit & Loss: +55.5pts

2019 Wells Fargo Championship, Odds & Tips

  • Date: Thursday 4th – Sunday 7th
  • Venue: Quail Hollow, Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

After a change on format last week at the Zurich Classic, where the partnership of Jon Rahm and Ryan Palmer were victorious, the PGA Tour returns to a more regular 72 hole stroke play tournament this week, and preparations for the 2nd major of the year, later this month starts to properly ram up.

The Wells Fargo Championship takes centre stage this week and a return to Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina. Two time champion, Rory McIlroy heads the field, with course specialists Jason Day, Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose and Phil Mickelson also in what looks a decent field.

Key Stats & Facts

Quail Hollow is a 7,554 par 71 course that has been recently redesigned by Tom Fazio. It is a big classical course where length and an aggressive style seems a must. With tree lined fairways and several dog-legged holes to contend with, players who can shape it both ways off the tee, will definitely hold an advantage.  Scoring well on the par 5s and the shorter par 4s will also be crucial.

Players with a high attacking ball flight, mixed with an attacking long game, often contend here, as is seen with winners such as McIlroy, Day and Fowler. Mickelson has also had a great run of success here, without winning. So it gives you a flavour of the type of player that can go well here at Quail Hollow.

Recent Winners

  • 2018: Jason Day -12 (20/1)
  • 2017: Brian Harman -10 (80/1)
  • 2016: James Hahn -9 (5000/1)
  • 2015: Rory McIlroy -21 (7/2)
  • 2014: JB Holmes -14 (66/1)
  • 2013: Derek Ernst -8 (500/1)
  • 2012: Rickie Fowler -14 (50/1)

*Justin Thomas also won the 2017 PGA Championship here at Quail Hollow

Betting Odds – the top 10 in the market (Paddy Power – paying 8 places)

  • Rory McIlroy 6/1
  • Jason Day 10/1
  • Justin Rose 11/1
  • Rickie Fowler 11/1
  • Hideki Matsuyama 16/1
  • Webb Simpson 18/1
  • Tony Finau 18/1
  • Sergio Garcia 20/1
  • Paul Casey 25/1
  • Phil Mickelson 25/1

The Verdict

With the likes of McIlory, Day, Rose, Fowler and Mickelson dominating the top of the market, their chances are obvious, but I am looking further down the market at a group of aggressive young and very talented players that can give us a great run at each way prices.

  1. Jason Kokrak 40/1

Kokrak has been in fantastic form this season, with a host of top 20 results including; 2nd at the Valspar, 7th at the Texas Open, 9th at the Honda Classic and 10th at the Arnold Palmer. His big hitting game combined with some very impressive stats, make him a prime each way candidate this week. He sits 11th in total driving, 15th in tee to green, 4th on approach and 8th in birdies. I fancy Kokrak to go very well this week.

  1. Aaron Wise 50/1

Already a winner on Bermudagrass, at last year’s Byron Nelson, Wise also looks primed to get back in contention this week. An impressive showing at The Masters, where he finished 17th after a weekend 68, 67, was a welcome return to form, after a few disappointing returns. Wise was 19th in the WGC Mexico and 10th in Mayakoba, which however bookend a run of missed cuts. With his length off the tee and being a proven putter on these surfaces, Wise has the talent and the game to make him a suitable candidate for a good run here at Quail Hollow.

  1. Sam Burns 100/1

Many regard Burns as a superstar in the making, and this could be the week take advantage of a three figure price. 9th at The Heritage, 23rd in Texas and 12th in Puntacana, he’s on a run of form that makes him a great prospect here at Quail Hollow. Burns is currently 23rd in par 5 performance, 24th in putting and 18th in driving distance; he has tools with the driver and the flat stick to challenge the top of the leaderboard. I for one don’t think we’ll see him at this kind of price for too much longer.

Other players that I considered this week were Keith Mitchell and Tony Finau.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt Each Way – Jason Kokrak 40/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – Aaron Wise 45/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – Sam Burns 100/1 (Paddy Power)