#MagicMark Week 5

#MagicMark

Football specialist and pro-punter Dave South (@LockupTipster) provides us with his selections for this week’s #MagicMark feature.

Magic Mark – Week 4

This week, we are keeping this fairly simple and Bet365 is our chosen bookmaker for the weekend.

All three selections are on Saturday and begin in the North-East at Toon, where Newcastle welcome Watford to its quarters. The chilly breeze will aid conditions where the summer temperatures begin to ease off and Autumn is around the corner.

Watford’s Javi Gracia is under huge pressure to save his job with the north London side and could not come at a better time, when Newcastle are under the cosh with a number of injury concerns. Watford have not been able to win any of their last six, and with a leaky defence in conceding more than one goal in five of the last six, a under strength Newcastle side could be their remedy.

Continuing from an element of a winning bet last weekend, which saw Watford and West Ham pass 10 corners, i would be tempted to look at this again. However, with an under-strength home side, will require the 12th man in the crowd to assist morally.The bet considered is for Watford to be awarded over 4.5 corners, which has landed in all of their opening league games and is within a shout here surely averaging 6.67 per game thus far.

Heading across to Burnley for our second selection, welcomes Manchester City’s closest rivals Liverpool. The bet is going against the grain on the stats, as Liverpool have got off to a 100% and Jurgen Klopp needs to tighten up the defence.

Burnley have begun the season well and will want to go into the international break with something from the game, but Liverpool’s dominance in possession implies that Burnley will look to make life difficult for Klopps men. The reds have a good record against the home side, winning their last twelve matches in general and eight of the last ten against the Clarets. Liverpool’s scoring record is positive also netting at least two in their last dozen matches.

Anticipation of a tight game, could see a one goal margin game, and Klopp’s focus will be to try and keep a clean sheet. This was nearly achieved versus Arsenal, when they switched off the gas and conceded. At 11/10 for the win to nil is worth a go giving the German boss a chance to work on his tactics.

Lastly we head to the class of 92’s club Salford City, who entertain fellow promoted side Leyton Orient, both of which are warming to life in the football league. Having enjoyed the recent documentary in the club, seeing the former Manchester United class of 92 invest in the club, there is real passion and warming to a new team occupying the football league. Having seen the home side play on a number of occasions has resulted in some good offensive play. There has been some defensive frailties also, which will not be fixed overnight.

When the sides met on the opening day of last season, in front of the TV screens some positive reaction came from the tie. Recent form in League two has seen both sides see goals at both ends of the net. Salford have drawn successive ties 2-2, with Orient winning and losing 3-2 in their last two.

There could be goals here again with a fairly evenly matched pair of sides and edge towards both sides scoring, which is 8/11. As this is below our target price, seeing either side score a second boosts to 6/5 and believe that the game will be a reactive one regardless of who scores first.

Recommended Bets

  • Newcastle v Watford – Watford over 4.5 corners (4/5)
  • Burnley v Liverpool – Liverpool win to nil (11/10)
  • Salford v Leyton Orient – BTTS Yes & Over 2.5 goals (6/5)

Best priced 7.31/1 with bet365. Perm in 3 doubles only at 1pt per bet (3pts total).