Football specialist and pro-punter Dave South (@LockupTipster) provides us with his selections for this week’s #MagicMark feature.
#MagicMark – Week 7
Greetings all. An update from the beginning of the season, that we have not quite cracked the #MagicMark in bagging all three winners, and have come very close on three occasions, settling for slight profit return. With a couple of full week losses has plunged us into a net loss.
However, I believe in integrity and honesty, whereas other tipsters and sites may often mask their performance or not quote it at all. Our match previews on site are running at a 22% return on investment and look to turn this column around.
My strategy is simple and the one thing a punter hates is being let down by one selection! With my strategy you can be let down by one selection and still make a small profit for the next round of competition. This is what we call #magicmark.
Firstly, the principles of this column identifies three selections which must all be 4/5 (1.80) or greater to qualify. Any bookie offering less than the magic mark fail to make the cut.
Last week Woking on the corners bet and Liverpool generated a small profit and head into this week with hat can be described as three bets which should give all round entertainment for the duration of each game.
We begin at Ewood Park, where Blackburn host Luton town, with Tony Mowbray's side looking to maintain winning ways after seeing Reading off last weekend. Blackburn have just one known injury concern, so could name a relatively similar side as the Luton outfit, winless in the last three look to overturn this.
The home side have kept a clean sheet in five of the last seven games, with the last three at Ewood Park seeing fewer than three goals. There are no shortage of goals either, with the host netting twice in all of the last three. Bordering between the 4/5 – 17/20 mark qualifies and feel the momentum is riding with the hosts here.
Next up we head to league one, with Posh hosting winless Wimbledon. With Peterborough's last two home games resulting in two pummelling of League One title chasers Sunderland 3-0 and Rochdale 6-0 sees no shortage of goals at home.
Wimbledon in response on the road have managed to net in all five, including at front runners Ipswich and Sunderland all resulting in five straight defeats. All five have resulted in three or more goals from the ties, with Peterborough also seeing three or more in all four home tie.
With such dominant displays at home is difficult to bet against the hosts. At 4/7 is not back-able for this column. However, a Posh win but over 2.5 goals adds to the flavour with Skybet punting 11/10 on the outcome.
Lastly, heading to League two, we are taking another corners approach,, like last week with Woking at Chorley. I believe this market adds extra value in respect that the market will run for the duration of the game, and could of course be landed as soon as both sides bag four or more corners each.
The tie in question heads to Macclesfield, with Colchester making the the motorway journey up. The visitors on the road have averaged plenty of corners in their five encounters, landing just over five corners a game. They have passed the four mark in four occasions, with the other seeing three. On four of the five occasions saw the respective home side land four or more corners also.
With Macclesfield, have obliged in all five home games, averaging over 6 team corners per game. similarly like Colchester have conceded fewer than four at home on once occasion, back in mid-August. All of the last three has landed.
The total corner line is set around 10 or 11 for the game, giving some wriggle room on the overall price. With the match odds edging the visitors, surely some corner-side action will take place at both ends of the pitch.