SPL Best Bets | Wednesday 6th February
Football specialist Tom Love (@TomLove_18) has analysed Wednesday evening’s Scottish Premier League action and delivered us his best bets.
Hearts v Livingston
Hearts claimed a shock win away at in-form Kilmarnock on Friday night. That put the Jam Tarts on 4 wins out of their last 5 and striking duo Steven Naismith and Sean Clare seem to be clicking now. They’ve also got the likes of Olly Lee, Uche Ikpeazu and Demetri Mitchell who can cause different types of problems going forward.
Livingston on the other hand are in a poor vein of form. They’ve lost their last 4 and were battered by Motherwell last time out, trailing 3-0 at half time. Confidence must be low at Livi and it’s quite the opposite at Hearts. The visitors have a lot of young players who’ve done exceptionally well so far this season but it looks like regression to the mean.
We can back the home side at 4/5 with Ladbrokes and that looks a solid play to kick things off.
Celtic v Hibernian
It’s been a strange time to be a Hibs fan of late. Gaffer Neil Lennon’s tenure was ended in a rather cloudy fashion with the club eventually claiming the decision was made by ‘mutual consent’.
The Hibees have just the 1 league win to their name in the last 7 and that came against rock bottom St Mirren. They failed to do any eye-catching business in January and it wouldn’t be surprising if that was one of the reasons for Lennon’s departure.
Celtic are starting to break away from the chasing pack. They’ll have been delighted that Kilmarnock dropped points at the weekend and the Bhoys did the business in Perth, beating St Johnstone 2-0. Many of the reigning champions recent wins have been relatively convincing, in no part down to their strong defensive record. Their last 5 games since the Old Firm defeat have seen them cover the -1 handicap and fail to concede in any of them.
Timothy Weah looks like a neat addition from PSG and he will add pace and energy up top whereas Jeremy Toljan is a highly rated defender who impressed in the Bundesliga in the last few years. Scott Sinclair is also in decent form and they’ve won their last 12 games at Celtic Park so there’s plenty going for the hosts here.
We can back Celtic off a -1.5 start on the asian handicap at 8/9 with BetVictor and that looks a very tempting angle. This bet is effectively Celtic on the straight -1 normal handicap only a better price.
Hamilton v St Johnstone
Hamilton Accies have garnered a reputation for poor discipline this season. They’ve picked up 61 yellows and 4 reds this season. 65 cards in just 24 games makes them one of the leagues dirtiest.
The side from South Lanarkshire find themselves in a three pronged relegation battle along with St Mirren and Dundee. Every game for them is vital and there’s a chance to pick up some points against mid-table Saints.
The visitors are also partial to a booking; but their record is slightly more subdued with 39 yellows and 1 red, it’s still averaging over 2 cards a game though.
It has the hallmarks of a feisty encounter so I was surprised to see 40+ booking points chalked up at 4/5. The more adventurous punter may want to have a look at the 20+ booking points each team at a bigger 6/4 but I’m happy to keep it simple and not have to rely on an even spread by backing 40+.
If you’re new to booking points: Yellow card = 10 points. Red Card = 25 points.